2019 Election Projection
So in 2017 Andrew Marr told us that, for those of us who
liked election nights, this could be our year. And merely 30 months later… Of
course, lots have changed since then. Not Brexit, that’s still happening. Not
Corbyn, he’s still a thing.
Anyhow, back in 2015, I tried to do a seat by seat
projection of the election. I pointed out many (accurate) trends and curves and
then… completely got the wrong seat projection from it. In 2017, I didn’t
bother as I was sure of a Tory landslide. But here we are in an unpredictable
environment so here is the seat-by-seat projection again.
Some seats have more to say than others. There really is not
much to say about Liverpool Walton, a seat in which Labour could suffer a 38.4%
swing against them and still hold onto. But with the best will and intentions, onwards…
