Showing posts with label Andrea Pirlo. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Andrea Pirlo. Show all posts

Tuesday, 12 June 2012

Euro 2012 roundtable #8: Predictions? What Predictions?



Being Parte the Third of the Epic European Championship Voyages Of Messrs Michael, Jon and Gav and assorted company.





Jon: So, the dominant team in world football, one of the great footballing nations in transition between eras, some easy on the eye entertainers from Eastern Europe and a team whose sole purpose in being at the Euros appears to be to give their fans a chance to sample foreign beers. Group C then…







Italy/Spain





Michael: Cards on the table first and foremost. I had vested interests in this one, with a long standing love of the Italian national team. Spain being the Euro roundtable correspondent Alan Kalders team, this was as close to a Euro roundtable derby as we’ll get at the Euros for now. Just wait till Wales v Scotland in the World Cup qualifiers, that’ll be a bunch of fun and games.




So Italy. I was a bit alone in that department as they have a bit of a reputation which precedes them. I had faith in Cesar Prandelli though, and he showed his bravery from the starting, going with a 3-5-2 formation against the rampant World Champions. What developed was a chess match, but unlike Portugals efforts, this was a proper match which made their efforts look like me trying to take on Kasparov!





The first half ended in stalemate, but, like Italy/Germany in the 2006 World Cup, it was brewing up to be a potentially great match, as both sides had chances but had been unable to take them. The second half started in the same ilk, and I grew more and more excited as Italy began to press further and further upfield. Then Balotelli, wonderfully disposed Spain and ran at the box. The wonderful run was quickly finished off with stupidity, though not of a violent nature, thankfully. Seemingly, he’d thought Pique would come to him and he could pass to Cassano. Pique held his ground, so, not knowing what to do, Mario just sort of stood there! Prandelli instantly took him off and replaced him with Di Natale, the man Prandelli had faced incredulity for picking in the Italian media. Within a minute, a crisp stunning through ball from Pirlo met Di Natale who thumped into the net. That’s how you do it, Mario, and more importantly, thats how to shut up critics over your team selection!





Unfortunately, that goal woke up Spain. Silva passed, Fabregas scored, I feared the worst. On come Fernando Torres, the man who is either past it or in a slump, depending on his individual critic. Having seen him produce a fine reaction goal against South Korea last week, I knew better than to count him out, and he swiftly started trying to give me a heart attack with at least five gilt edged chances over the course of twenty minutes. Thankfully, this was the Torres who couldn’t hit a barn door variation, but he was doing well to get into those situations. The commentary called for Llorente, and bemoaned the chances that Llorente could have scored, but that was to miss the point: the chances Torres made were not the sort Llorente would have, and vice versa. Maybe they can play off each other, I don’t know. As a great believer in the law of averages though, if Torres DOES keep creating these positions, one will succeed over the course of a tournament. He’s going to come up against less intelligent defences than he did today.






All that said, thank god he kept missing today! Buffon was a strong presence in goal, which is almost redundant now, as everyone knows his quality. He also showed the Poles how to deal with a one on one situation, heralding the ball out of play without so much as a foot wrong. Sadly, the commentary and online reaction to that seemed to be: “Hah! He’s made a hash of that!” much like it was when Lehmann punched the ball to his team mates to break forward instead of made a slapdash save for effect.





"Tonight I saw an Italy I had always dreamed of - a team where everyone helps each other out when in need. I am proud."
Buffon




De Rossi was a tower in defence. It’s funny with De Rossi. I never really think of him as being that good, but time and time again he produces stunning performances in big matches I watch. His progression from an infamously temperamental fool (we all remember his elbow on McBride in the World Cup, well, the Americans haven’t forgotten it!) to potentially world class star has been incredible. Here, he played in defence at late notice due to the injury of Barzagli, and produced a potential Man of the Match performance. Defence, midfield, a penchant for important goals: Italy are lucky to have him. And he’s only 28. By Italian standards, he hasn’t hit his peak yet.




It was interesting to see Nocerino on the pitch for a bit, as he was at one point touted as Pirlo’s successor. He now seems the stop gap between Pirlo and the emerging Verrati.




I enjoyed this game. It wasn’t the sterile game some feared it would be. It wasn’t the thumping I feared it would be either!




That was a relief in the end. Italy did well, then they scored and Spain woke up. Spain came into it more, equalised and looked the more dangerous team. Italy had 2 good chances for a second goal but couldn't take them.



Two good sides there going for it. In the end a draw was the right result. Could have been 3-3 easily with better luck.




"Spain is the strongest of them all and today proved it. But we were also good and the Spaniards met their match."
Buffon




That’s the kind of magnanimity I like. Mick Foley once said there’s not point calling your opponent shit, because then you’ll never look good: either you lose to shit, so what does that make you, or you win, but you only be supbar opposition. Some football managers might want to heed the wisdom in that. Here, Buffon states Spain are the strongest side in the world, heaping praise on the opposition, but also on his own team as they held up the pace with the best side in the world! It comes across far better than “You suck! We rule!” style.




“The result was a fair one. Our intention was to play the game, not just contain our opponents”
Cesar Prandelli







Jon: If you’re after pure excitement from your football, the sort provided by the thrash and dash of the Premier League, this was entirely the wrong match for you. The matches between the very best teams tend to be more cerebral affairs, chess matches of passing and probing, searching for chinks in the other team’s defence. It’s the matches featuring lesser teams that tend to be exciting due to their shortfalls and attempts to compensate for them. Spain took their ideal of possession over the vulgarity of goalscoring to its logical conclusion and followed Barca’s lead of playing without a striker, Fabregas playing the role his Barca teammate Messi usually plays. Prandelli matched it by playing three at the back and the anticipated chess match ensued, both teams seeking to control the centre of the board before striking. Brilliant for fans of possession football, dull for those who seek end to end excitement. Me? I could watch the likes of Pirlo, Xavi and Iniesta all day, the art of the pass all but perfected.





Balotelli astonished everyone by having a quiet game and at one point blowing a one on one with some niftily rapid deceleration allowing the chance to be smothered. But Michael’s footballing Jesus, Pirlo, provided a sublime assist for Balotelli’s replacement Di Natale. The old men still had it! Unfortunately they were sucker punched quickly with an equally sublime pass from Silva setting up Fabregas for an equaliser. They woke Spain up a little too early.




Torres came on and, whilst his finishing was as erratic as it’s always been outside his time under Benitez at Anfield, his pace and movement created all sorts of problems for the Italian defence, forcing Buffon into a Maldini/Agger style dispossession and adding the pace and directness missing from the pretty patterns of the first hour for Spain. Fascinating rather than exciting then, an honourable stalemate between two fine teams who’ll be satisfied with a point. Caveat - if both sides beat Ireland as expected it leaves them potentially vulnerable to going out if they have a bad day against a good Croatian team.






Gav:
So, in the earlier discussions I said “I’ve seen a lot of lovely football in Spain this season, but I do find myself wondering – can they do it without Lionel Messi?” and the answer is “no, not really”. They tried to play the false nine without a striker, what’s that called? The Emperor’s New Nine? Not sure really! Well, whatever you want to call it, Spain didn’t really seem to do much. Despite having 6 in midfield Italy looked very comfortable against them. Whenever Spain did find themselves breaking forward with the ball they didn’t really seem to know what to do with it.



In the second half Spain seemed to start trying to attempt more shots but really I was more impressed by Italy than Spain in this match. Maybe because I had higher expectation for Spain here.




“We played against a great Italy side that came to attack us, to press us, and they have players who can make the difference.”
Sergio Ramos






Alan Kalder: Basically, we played well. Italy also played well. Iniesta was out of this world. Del Bosque made a lot of choices that payed off--the Cesc-Silva hookup was obviously a key for us. The substitution of Torres is looked at positively by many--Torres created lots; just didn't finish it off--should have gone with a vaselina ("chip shot") in the endgame. I think Arbeloa was our weakest on defense; Jordi Alba is certainly promising. Would love to have had Puyol in there-we'd a beat 'em. Whatever Del Bosque does, he'll be criticized--obviously--, unless we win the whole ball of wax. He clearly thinks Torres is the answer in the long run; wants Torres to build confidence knowing Del Bosque believes in him. What better way to prove it than putting him in against Italy? That said, we could see Llorente or Negredo start vs Ireland.





Michael: See? Even the Spanish think the Italians played a good attacking game. Yet the C word still comes out over here. Bah!





"They are certainly not weaker than Spain. In some ways you could say they have more diversity to their play. We must remain at this level if we are to win. Italy are very much a team of my liking. I am really excited for the match."
Slaven Bilic


"Cesc did very well in that position. When Torres came on, the game was much more open. We had more chances to score, but they, too, lest we forget. Time will tell if this [the system] is good for us or not. We did a good job, it was a good effort. We are relatively satisfied with the result." Del Bosque







Croatia/Ireland




"It does not matter whether this is one of the best performances of this generation. We previously had good matches against England, Germany and Russia. The most important thing is that we played well. We outplayed them physically, tactically and psychologically.”
Slaven Bilic






Gav:
Estonia Republic of Ireland vs Croatia





I really enjoyed this match! Mandžukić scored before I’d even poured out my first beer! I think this match really highlighted how much better the tournament would have been had Estonia rightfully qualified in Ireland’s place.




For those of you who pay for the premium version of Michael’s blog – I’m terribly sorry you had to read my uncensored tirade of expletives in the group stage previews, though I’m sure you all agree with everything that I said there.




I’d just like to remind people that I also quite confidently said that Croatia would get out of this group. I know Ireland are soft opposition but Croatia are looking good for confirming my prediction.





Michael: For the premium version of this blog (like this, but with a government grant of several million purely to change the title) please send a cheque to my favourite charity, the Considered Aging Support Hospital, or C A S H if you prefer, to the following address...




Gav: Taking your humour from Rik Mayall now, really?





Michael: Have I ever not? NICHOLAS PARSONS!






Jon: *Paddington Bear stare*





Michael: Well, there’s a reference that will go over the heads of almost everyone who reads this. (“Mr Jolly Lives Next Door” for those wondering, is a comic TV play from the 1980s, involving but not limited to: gangsters, Nicholas Parsons, a serial killer, terrorists, Rik Mayal, escorts and drunk Japanese businessmen. Its hilarious, much like everything else that has Peter Cook in it. )






Jon: There must be more to life than stereotypes, as Damon Albarn once sang. This was a match to prove him wrong, Croatia passing their way around the Irish, gradually building pressure to force errors, and the Irish countering it with physical effort and a threat from set pieces. It’s been played out hundreds of times in Europe, British Isle teams being undone by sneaky, cunning foreigners.





Ireland’s defending was unusually sloppy for a Trapattoni team, Mandzukic being allowed to wander about the area at his leisure before popping up with a weak but well placed header. And there we were, all set up for Croatia’s neat, incisive passing to tear Ireland apart on the counter when Sean St Ledger popped up at the back post from – deep shock here – a free kick to equalise.




And then, as it has a tendency to do, history began to repeat itself. In this type of game it’s now happened so many times it’s far beyond comedy or tragedy.





Croatia imposed themselves and began to build pressure, Ireland never seeing enough of the ball to release it. In those circumstances Stephen Ward’s panicked attempt at clearing Modric’s shot just before halftime shouldn’t be seen as someone having a shocker but the inevitable result of a team’s tactics inviting pressure on itself. Eventually, no matter how good you are, someone will crack and much of this Irish team aren’t of a high enough standard to hold out under pressure that long. There was a question of offside on Jelavic from the initial shot, ultimately though Jelavic played to the whistle and asked questions later while the Irish desperately stuck their hands in the air in the despairing manner perfected by the Arsenal back four.





What should be down as a Given own goal but won’t be, a classic diving header into his own net after Mandzukic’s shot rebounded off the post, simply settled the pattern of the second half. Ireland can consider themselves unlucky with a penalty not given for Corluka’s challenge on - I doubt many Estonians were sympathising with the Irish getting the rough end of refereeing decisions – but ultimately they weren’t smart enough to unlock the Croatian defence. A fourth for Croatia looked far more likely than the Irish pulling one back.





It’s tough to see how Ireland are going to get anything from the tournament after this – their set pieces may trouble the less than gigantic Spanish but on this evidence the Spanish possession game will bamboozle them into submission over 90 minutes. Difficult to tell how good the Croatians are either – they’re certainly a good footballing side but what might as well have been a training ground exercise for them says nothing about how they’ll fare against Spain or Italy. 





Difficult to draw any overall conclusions as to who’s going through then, except to say that we’re safely able to rule out the Irish. If Trapattoni doesn’t have the personnel at his disposal to compete with Croatia it’s even more unlikely that they’ll compete with two of the three best technical sides seen so far in the competition. We should be in for plenty of entertainment from the remaining Croatian games though.




"Is this the best match of my life? I must thank the coach first because he gave me a chance to play and then I really played a good match. I scored twice but I also must thank my great team-mates."
Mandzukic







Michael: Speaking of thumpings. I predicted 3-0 for this one, but Ireland did get a goal from Sean St Ledger of all people. Let me repeat that. Sean St bloody Ledger of Leicester City, formerly of Preston Northend, scored in the European Championships. That’s just bizarre!




It was just a prelude to a thumping though. Mandzukic got the task underway two minutes in. Jelavic before half time, Mandzukic in the second half sealed the deal. I believe it was 2009 when I first pointed out Mandzukic as a future talent, promptly a week before he scored against Hearts in the UEFA Cup. Seeing him dazzle on an international stage made me feel very happy. It was like seeing Alexis Sanchez at the World Cup.



That’s me picked two Stars to Watch who came good in 10 years. Mandzukic and Sanchez. With that kind of success rate, I could be a Liverpool scout.





"They scored from a set piece but we were a much better team. We were far more creative. Yes they scored but we reacted very well."
Slaven Bilic





Michael: Modric had about thirty passes in the second half and only two miss his team mate. Jon suggested he was wasted in the English Premier League. He’s probably right. Jelavic hid on the pitch, and was forgotten until he scored, the sign of a class striker. I expected more from the likes of Aidan McGeady and Simon Cox, a few of the talents Ireland possess, but they were largely anonymous.




“We can get to the Final” said one Irish fan on ESPN before the match. You almost have to feel sorry for him.





Gav – No you don’t.






Michael – Heh. Speaking of ESPN, they stunned me with a thought provoking video with Shevchenko looking back on the infamous Death Match of 1942. For those who don’t know of it: Nazis arrange football match with local Kiev side as propaganda, order the Kiev lot to lose, they decide to win, you can guess the rest. There are a lot of myths and sensationalism around that match, but it seems fairly certain a good number of the players were murdered soon after. Not the kind of topic which is easy to cover, as you might imagine, yet they did an admirable job, so top marks to them.











Pirlo



Was magnificent. That is all.



Don’t believe me? Listen to the Special One.



“Spain failed to stop Pirlo, and when the latter plays comfortable he makes a lot of problems.”
Jose Mourinho



Yes, I am not beyond quoting Jose when it suits my purpose. Heh.




"I was surprised by Spain. They didn't have a striker, but sometimes they play like this. We played well. I would give us a seven [out of 10]. This match can give us a lot of confidence for our next games. [Cassano and Balotelli] played well. One was trying to find space, the other one proved his talent."
Pirlo on the game.



“Great assist from Pirlo, I think this is my best goal for the Azzurri.”
Di Natale




Prandelli


Italy's average age in the first eleven would be a lot lower if they didn't have Buffon and Pirlo, two genuine world class stars who are still producing. Prandelli's done well to bring in younger replacements to many of the tired 2010 faces, and even with Pirlo had him training with Nocerino (his immediate replacement) and Veratti (his potentially more spiritual successor time).


The big problem is who replaces Buffon?



They seem in better shape for the future and the World Cup than England are on current form though.





Jon – Point that out, though England’s age profile is no great virtue.Plus, if ever a country got the most from aging stars, its the Italians. 




Michael – Gerrards replacement is learning nothing from him for example France had similar problems from 1998 on, forcing Blanc to act from scratch. Prandelli went for a phase out, with younger folk learning from older heads. Balotelli from DI Natale, Nocerino from Pirlo and Verrati from Pirlo, and so on. 



Jon – Short termism has always been Englands problem. And lets face it, just who is Gerrards replacement.



Michael – Cleverleys the only person I can think of whose been brought through in who is similar, but hes had injuries and is not in the England set up. In terms of which, Gerrard only has 2-3 years left tops, it’s not going to be someone we don’t already know, by necessity. 



Jon – that’s 2-3 years at club level, not international either. Move Rooney back?



Michael – That would rely on Rooney becoming a more intelligent player and I have yet to see that in him.



Jon – Well Gerrard and Lampard were never overly intelligent, so no change there! Only smart English midfielder of recent years has been Scholes.



Michael – In two to three years, me and Rooney will be 29. That’s not planning for tomorrow. That’s a bandage. 




Jon – Particularly given Rooney started early so likely is already around his peak Strikers and attackers peak younger these days to my mind.


Michael – Depends when they get their chance. Pedro broke through at 22 so his peak will be c 27/28. Rooney 16, so about now. Etc.



Jon – Yep, thats more accurate actually. Rooney also played lots of football from 18 on after Moyes managed his early career well.





Catenaccio




Michael: It was funny to think of Catenaccio today. People still believe the Italians will perform it, though they haven’t in at least eight years now. Its got to the point where the Azzurri could win a match 10-0 and someone would bring up the C word. Italian football more often than not was focused on having a strong defence, but equally alongside a clinical striker and a fantastico playmaker in the centre. It is the latter two which bring the joy and verve to Italian sides, which make them so fascinating and hard to beat. The best defenders, Maldini for example, could set up attacks as well as stop them. Compare to attack minded England, who have bored millions at their last two World Cups. In that time period, Italy had five thrillers, and produced enough excitement to be memorable in their other matches. Heck, the least memorable of Italy’s ten World Cup matches in Germany and South Africa was the one they won 3-0, which also happened to be the only Italy match I can recall they had the backing of nearly 100% of everyone I knew, as they vanquished the winners of that match we dare not mention by name.




Converse this with Ireland, led by the last great proponent of Catenaccio style, Trappatoni. Yet his Ireland side, who depended on the braveheart qualities of Richard Dunne in the qualifiers, were undone by the simplest methods of catching defences out in the book. A decade ago, this would have been 1-0 Ireland. An aging Trappatoni still has the ability to inspire a team and manage better than men half his age, but the thin line between success and failure has started to narrow. Despite his football philosophy being opposite of mine, I have great respect for Trappatoni and his many achievements in football. It is a shame they might finish with his greatest assets in his heyday being exposed on the big stage in his twilight.





All Fur Coats and Nae Strikers



"It's not good to keep on passing between Xavi, Iniesta and Fabregas without creating a big threat on Buffon's goal. Yes there was a big effort from Spanish midfielders but without a striker the team was sterile."
Jose Mourinho



Ah, Spain, with some many good midfielders. Who misses out? No one! Of course, tiki taka is nice to watch, but it needs a Messi or a Villa to be the beneficiary!



After all, Spain had six midfielders, but Italy had one Pirlo!





A Danish perspective on Group B



Keld: A great performance by the Danish side, who managed to beat a superior side without parking the bus. We did not defend in numbers most of the time; instead we managed to hold on to the ball well for several periods of the game. Not that we created a lot from that possession, but it helped us calm the game at critical times. This thing about keeping possession is a two-edged sword, however, and if William Kvist's mistake or Stephan Andersen's flagrant mispass to Robben had resulted in a goal, then we would all have criticized Olsen for insisting that we play this possession game.



Andersen, apart from the mispass, had a great game in goal, and especially the heroic double-save in the second half was fabulous. 



The defense did a fine job, and it must've been amazing for Simon Poulsen to revenge his tragi-comic own goal two years ago with a great performance and the decisive assist. 


Zimling recovered from a swollen toe to play, and was very important defensively and our best player when in possession. His central midfield colleagues, on the other hand, had tough games; Kvist had difficulties in containing the brilliant Wesley Sneijder, and Eriksen did not have many successful actions.


Rommedahl and Bendtner were both fairly quiet, while Krohn-Dehli was out best player. Quite amazing that a player from the ninth-best Danish team outshined superstars from the best clubs in the world. Maybe it helped us that both Krohn-Dehli and Rommedahl more or less stopped playing two months ago in Brøndby. When Brøndby couldn't really reach anything, the pair faked injuries or illnesses or simply did not make an effort on the pitch, and they were even allowed to join the national side before the last league match.



Of course, we could not have won this game without a couple of below-par performances from the Dutch. We must thank Robin van Persie, who has apparently been transformed from the Premier League top scorer to a player who could barely stay on his feet when finishing. Another thank you should be send to Arjen Robben, who several times completed his move towards the middle of the pitch that ended with thumbing the ball above the goal.



Naturally, Denmark is in a state of football euphoria after the win as many probably feared a repeat of EURO 2000 with three clear defeats and a 0-8 goal difference. Few fans have taken the trip, around 9.000 tickets have been sold to Danes for the first three games combined, but some have now changed their mind now and will try to access a last-minute ticket, although I guess it will be hard.



Our chances look good now, and we are fairly confident as we have beaten Portugal in our two latest qualifications. They did look good against Germany when forced to attack, but that must mean that they will have to loosen their iron defense.









England v France 







The English, for once, are approaching this European Championship with something approaching humility and it might well serve them if they were to win this first important game. Physically the French are in better shape, though, and haven’t had the injuries, and suspensions of the English team.The coach has had sufficient time to gel his team together, and so I must give slight edge to the French. But it’s very close, and as both teams have very talented players it should be an excellent game."
Diego Maradona





"I wanted Harry Redknapp, like about 80 per cent of the English public. But Hodgson is there now and we're all going to get behind him. "It kills me to say it, but England will struggle to get out of this group. France will win the group. England will have a fight to finish second.”
Robbie Fowler (will be as good a pundit as he was player in his second Liverpool spell?)





Jon:

Those thoughts on Ireland-Croatia? Rinse and repeat, except for the British Isle team having a decent keeper and the continental types being blunt up front. 



This was a game, in the words of Happy Thom Yorke, of no alarms and no surprises. England? 4-4-2 and score off a set piece. Two banks for four, solid, deep and narrow and if in any doubt hoof it up for the forwards to chase. Possession’s something those crazy foreign madmen do, it’s dreadfully un-British to descend to their levels of cunning. It’s a fairly typical Hodgson tactic, but it’s one which served Chelsea well in the Champions League this year. However, with all due respect to Welbeck, who worked his behind off, without Rooney England don’t possess a forward of the calibre of Drogba so England lack the invention to create many chances – this game actually saw them create their least chances in any European Championship finals game since the format of a summer tournament was adopted in 1980. Watching England promises to be attritional stuff, possession happily ceded, few chances created but few given away either. It’s the English game reduced to its old fashioned basics. Given this seems a limited team, maybe it’s the right approach then. 



France? Pretty, pretty patterns in front of the England back four and aside from Nasri’s dart forward and pinpoint finish, not too much threat on Hart’s goal. After a lively first half Nasri and Ribery were becalmed in the second, seeking the chinks in the English armour in vain. 



With the result in the other game this means that the third game in the group will likely be decisive for both teams in deciding who goes through – the selections of M’Vila and Rooney in the squad, despite their initial absences therefore looks justified already.







Michael: Ah, the big game. Zzzzzzzzz.



Bit unfair, I admit.



This was technically the worst match of the tournament by far. This is a great testament to Roy Hodgson, whose tactics in neutralising the threat of France were almost completely spot on, and but for a minute where England fell asleep, would have produced a deserved win. Tiki taka clearly works, it hypnotised the English. Nothing else can explain Nasris speculative shot going into the net.





Englands opener a few minutes earlier was straight out of the England v France Euro 2004 playbook, just substitute Steven Gerrard for David Beckham and Joleon Lescott for Frank Lampard. France played lots of passes about the place, but never seemed to come close to an equaliser, and in the second half I nearly dropped asleep. French openers have a tendency to be dull affairs, ever since their last England game in fact! This one had goals but very little else. The problem England had was they were able to neutralise the opposition but had little clinical edge of their own. In this regard, a certain Mr Rooney was desperately needed. A Swedish win in the next round would set the cat among the pigeons for sure, but if they keep to this game plan, they ought to get a draw at least, which might be good enough to qualify for the last 8 with a win over the co-hosts, who might even be qualified by that point.





As for France, I remain unconvinced by them. They’ll have to improve to get out of the group. They still look like a team that can be got at, and Evra in particular looks like hes playing through anesthetic.





Gav: I liked what I saw from England in the first half of this game. I think it was a great decision of Hodgson’s to put Oxlade Chamberlain into the starting line up. I find it quite interesting that when Walcott was first picked for his major tournament a lot of people really questioned the decision but I feel less people have questioned Chamberlain’s callup. I think that’s a definite sign of his quality.




Anyway, it was a good match, England played well and were unlucky to concede the goal they did. England looked quite nervous in the second half but I am encouraged by what I saw in general.







Michael: It is nice to have an England supporter doing these, lest the Celtic boys (that Wales and Scotland, not the Old Firm) get accused of something akin to bias. I quite like Welbeck and Ashley Young (whisper it round these parts though) and Roy as a manager. If they managed to stop being dull for ten seconds they’d be almost bearable. 


ITV were rubbish incidentally. Jamie Carragher managed to make the same point about Oxlade-Chamberlain three times in one sentence, that he must have impressed in training. Reference was made to Roy Hodgson’s short international career: “two games, two wins”. My history tells me his international career has been slightly longer than that. Their start – “Good afternoon England fans and those who liking watching us suffer” – immediately cast them in the wrong shade, as being neither, I felt left out of proceedings. Being able to switch over to BBC right after the game showed best the gulf in class between the two providers. Heck, ITV have been 3rd best this tournament, as ESPN have wiped the floor with them in the US. I thought ESPN’s balding spectacled excited Irish pundit, whose name escaped me, was going to pick a fight with the rest of his team at half time during the Ireland match! The BBC have shown countless wonderful short vignettes on history and culture, and we’re only into day 4. ITV, on the other hand, have shown the great adage of quality over quantity is most definetly true.






Sweden v Ukraine 





Michael: So last night I was quite grumpy about this result, but have slept off most of the resulting depression and lets see if we can cover it in sensible terms.





Swedens tactics were spot on for the first fifty minutes or so of the match. The only problem is a match is ninety. In the first half, they said “Come and have a shot” at the Ukraine, who then showed some spectacularly toothless attempts at goal. Sweden were doing well to soak up the pressure, and had a few chances. It did look like a Ukrainian lamb had walked into the lions den however, and sure enough, shortly after the break, Sweden scored through Ibrahimovic. So far everything had gone to plan.





Then Ukraine equalised. Through the oldest man in the universe, Shevchenko. And Ukraine found new life, roared on by a massive home support. They found their winner, and though they were fortunate to hold on to it, Sweden proving profligacy in front of goal at crucial moments is not purely a Dutch curse, you’d have to say over all the co-hosts deserved their win.




It was of slight nuisance for me to see the man Toivonen, who had been sensational every time I’d seen him play before, pick the single worst time to have his worst performance in a year, and make me look like a right fool. He did well to keep the ball in play for Sweden’s opener, but did little of note in the rest of the match, and was replaced by Anders Svensson. Ibrahimovic looked lively, and could have had two but for the post. Rosenborg hasn’t scored for his country in years, and looked like a man with the confidence of someone who hasn’t scored for his country in years. Ruining good build up, wasting shots, its difficult to see how much worse the seemingly injured Gudietti could have performed in his place. The worrying thing in the build up was how negative the Swedish press seemed to be about the team: criticising team selections and talking of strife in the team, generally acting like the English media. I can think of no lower insult. The worry is they listen to this bad publicity, as their efforts in the first fifty minutes, and in searching for an equaliser, showed they weren’t a bad side by any means, and they could trouble England and France if they keep a positive frame of mind.





As for Ukraine, well, given I am always first to be smug about times I am correct, I am afraid I must eat humble pie here, much to the delight of the Ukrainians reading this, no doubt. I did underestimate the Ukrainian side, which seemed on paper the weakest of the four teams. I didn’t properly account for home support, the intelligent behind aging legs, and a general will to win. I still don’t think they are that hot a side, but those three things above can serve well when a side is at by half a tournament too early and a tournament too late. The result sets the cat among the pigeons. It is terrible for the French and English too, as a Ukraine win against either qualifies the co-hosts at the expense of one of the giants. Perhaps both if Sweden decide to take part in the scoring part of football. One can dream.





I think what Ukraine showed more than anything was, if you’ll excuse a throwback to cheap cliché, that is not the size of the dog in the fight, its the size of the fight in the dog. Good old Mark Twain. Ukraine look to have a fighting spirit as strong as anyone in the Euros, so it will be as tough to beat them as it would a team of world class quality. Underestimate them at your peril.





I enjoyed this game even if the result went against me. A class example of trap football in Part 1, a stirring fight back in Part 2. It had more to it than a certain match with bigger players on a previous day.



“I think it’s really hard to play with such nerves, I must say that the Swedish team is a really good and it is very hard to play against them, we knew everything about them, but I really think that they will be a tough opponent for the next opponents in our group.”
Blokhin





Gav:
As I type this Ukraine are beating Sweden 2-1 thanks to a brace from aging talisman chappy Shevchenko. I’m really pleased he scored (twice) – I always felt kind of sorry for him when he joined Chelsea. Read into that however you want! :D




Unfortunately Anders Svensson has not been able to turn this game around, despite being a proper Saints hero, unlike Thomas “The Pretender” Pekhart. Elmander just missed a really good chance. I have just decided that I’d like to see Ukraine go far in the tournament because when I met with people from Kiev none of them seemed that interested in the football – I think they need a bit of excitement!




I’ll just run this report down near the corner flag while I wait for the game to finish. I wouldn’t want to email this off to Michael only for his prediction of 3-2 to come true at the last minute!




What else can I say while I’m winding the clock down? Hmm. Melberg has a cool beard. Not enough footballers have beards. Oh, there goes the final whistle. Well done Ukraine! Host factor + Shevchenko = good win!




Michael: Now I know who to blame! If Gav HAD sent this, Sweden would have equalised! Hah.




"It feels strange, as it seemed like some players were too affected by the occasion. We did not perform at the level that we are capable of. We did not play as a team. Five or six of our players were far from their best.”
Eric Hamren





Jon: The old man still has it then!





This game looked to be going absolutely to plan for Sweden for nearly an hour. They drew the sting from the Ukrainian attack, calming the crowd a little. Voronin in particular tested and probed but without any great effect. Ibrahimovic and Konoplyanka missed good chances to give their sides a halftime lead. And ten minutes after halftime the Swedish gameplan seemed to be paying off as Ibrahimovic put them ahead. Thing is about great players though, even when the gas in their tank has run low they’re capable of turning games. Shevchenko’s pace might be long gone, but the brain remains as sharp as ever and intelligent movement to get across his marker not once but twice resulted in two fine headers to turn the Swedish gameplan on its head. Sweden had their chances, Elmander in particular being guilty of a horrendous miss, but frankly no-one in the Ukraine will care. 



Sweden looked the more accomplished side, passing and movement generally being superior to their opponent. Ibrahimovic did enough to suggest he’ll be more of a test for England than the English media might make out. They disappointed though, not producing the football that had seen them qualify so stylishly. Ukraine certainly didn’t look the equals of Sweden, nor even perhaps of France, but the edge home advantage gives them shouldn’t be underestimated. Once Shevchenko had given them a moment to remember they seemed to play as much a part as the players in willing their team on to victory. England have to venture into the lion’s den in Kiev with qualification for the knockout stages on the line. If Shevchenko’s legs hold out, you wouldn’t put money on them getting a result. 




As a pair of results it sets up Group D fascinatingly. Can this limited England find a way to take three points? Will Sweden be so profligate again? Can France find an end product for their clever, intricate play? And can the Ukraine repeat the upset? Three points against France would suddenly make three nations who must have fancied their chances of going through very nervous indeed.






Group A today




Jon: Back to Group A tomorrow then. Greece surely need to seize their chance against the Czech Republic and Russia have the chance to be the first side through to the knockout stages. I’m quite confident that my picks to go through won’t be letting me down tomorrow.





Pawel: Russia has made a great impression by their fine performance against the Czech Republic. The general thinking is that we cannot win today's match and if we are lucky, there will be a draw. And apparently quite a lot of people believe in a draw. 


The Czechs will have a huge support from the Polish fans today as their win over Greece is important for us.
There will probably be some changes in the Polish squad - Obraniak and Rybus were criticized and it seems that Dudka will replace one of them. Dudka is a universal player who can play at almost any position at the pitch. However, he is known for making occasional mistakes that results in losing a goal. The most famous example is his mistake in the last minute against Germany at the World Cup in 2006, when we finally lost 0:1. 


However, the main subject in media is now concerned with Russian supporters. They are generally considered a problem. As far as I know they want to celebrate the Russian national holiday today and many Poles are against it. Well, we'll see what will happen. 


Sport events involving Poland and Russia have always been special ones. This one is not different.
I will be at the stadium during the match. I hope it will be an exciting trip. Well, I'm sure, it will.




Michael – On behalf of all of us here, enjoy!






"We will try to win. If we can't do this, then we will try not to lose. That is an outcome that we must avoid. That doesn't mean we'll play for draw. We will do everything to win the game."
Fernando Santos, Greek manager



"We felt the disappointment immediately afterwards, for sure. We did not succeed in any way in that first match, but we know we have another 180 minutes to play to allow us to qualify for the quarter-finals. So we're determined to do just that." Petr Cech

"I guarantee that we will battle for 90 minutes. It will be a match of a very high tempo."
Smuda

"This match is now the most important match in this tournament for us. We have some respect for Russia but we are well prepared. No one is resigned [to defeat] because we have not lost."
Blaszczykowski



“"To say the truth, I remember it, the 2004 semi-final, but it's not a revenge. I still feel sorry about it though. Both teams have changed a lot since then, but for me it's not a matter of revenge. That's the past and this is today and tomorrow's game is another match we have to win.”
Rosicky



Michael: I remember the 2004 match well, I was heartbroken.







Enjoy Group A everyone!




Next time we speak, one of Holland or Portugal could be gone from the Euros.










(All quotes come from Goal.com)



Tuesday, 5 June 2012

Euro 2012 roundtables #4: Group C preview





Euro 2012 Roundtable #4

Group C Preview





Group C




Ah, a group with, in no particular order:



My picks to win the tournament.

Two perennial underdog who likes to pick off larger nations.

The greatest side in the world. TM.

The winners of the last two World Cups.

Michael’s favourite current player. Bar none.

The land of my ancestors. Who are also Gavin’s least favourite team in the tournament.

Some leaky defences, Richard Dunne, and some top class finishers. Balotelli, Jelavic, Llorente, Cox, the names just roll off your tongue.



All things considered, this may be a contender for best group of the tournament.



But will it live up to expectations or be a damp squid?



Not that I’ve seen many squids that weren’t damp. Squid tend to be damp, on the whole. A dry squid is no good at all for the squid in question, really. They like living in the ocean, so they can live, and last I checked, oceans tend to be, ever so slightly, damp. Unless you are in the Sahara Ocean, which is quite deserted.



Where was I?



Oh yes...



Thoughts on Italy?


Michael: When people look at Italy, they tend to see a dull, ultra defensive side who are cynical and sit on 1-0 leads. The term catenaccio is thrown around with great aplomb. Its a national stereotype which ignores the fact that many of the more successful Italian sides – 1982 for example – were as good at attacking as they were defending. As much as Italy is reknowned for producing a conveyer belt of top class defenders, it is their seemingly endless supply of quality midfielders that attracts me. Their fantistas, capable of winning matches on their own. Their dogged defensive midfielders, with so determination. Their playmakers, often deep-lying, who can control any game, and see the winning pass five passes before it is required.



Of the latter, the Italian sides current, Andrea Pirlo, is unabashedly my favourite player currently active in football. On his day, he is the greatest player in the world and utterly unplayable. He is often looked over for big awards, as he is an unshowy performer except for rare occasions. AC Milan thought he was over the hill and so binned him in 2011. He then moved to Juventus, where he was pivotal in their undefeated title winning season. Thirty three, and still strong, if he turns it on, Italy will be a team hard to beat.



With the lack of a proper Robert Baggio, Pirlo will be in that role too.



I like the coach Prandelli, he has said all the intelligent things. This is a warm up tournament for the World Cup, it is a tournament too early for his players. He shields them from the media. He was quick to give Mario Balotelli a complete vote of confidence, announcing soon after his Arsenal sending off he was almost certain to make the Italian squad. He also announced he would argue to the death any pundit who tried to argue against some of his more controversial picks, like Di Natale, who was seen as past it. Prandelli has shown remarkable man management skills at the top level, and though his squad are buffeted by the scandals of home, they have a strong figure who seems adept at accentuating the positive in each player. He also likes to play in a more attacking spirit, which is also welcome!



Italy usually bring classic matches. In 2002, they had memorable ties with Croatia and of course South Korea. In 2004, their existence created one! In 2006, the USA match was memorable, as well as the German semifinal. In 2008, the Dutch game. In 2010, they were involved in three good games, but went home having won none of them. Then there was the Australian game in 2006, seemingly not controversial for the Materazzi’s unfair red card, and more for a completely just penalty awarded in the dying moments. Even Sepp Blatter came out and denounced it, showing not only does Sepp say anything that will give him political back up in a key area, but also that hes rubbish as a football pundit. It was quite clear at the time and remains so: Bresciano catches Grosso off balance, he goes into the box, Lucas Neill dives down to the ground for no good reason (anything that can dispossess the ball, bar his elbow, he’s managed to block out of the way) and as Grosso was trying to get around him, he falls. The slight issue where Neills arm was in front of Grosso and suddenly behind his leg right as Grosso lost control of the ball was a bit dodgy for the Australians at the very least. Foolish move, and really people should concentrate more on how Australia couldn’t beat Italy with superior numbers for forty minutes and then felt the need for the old hacky moves.



You can at least expect the Italians to be memorable.



And with more match fixing scandals in Serie A, its them vs the world.



And history shows how well that often works out...






Jon: It’s all gone a bit chaotic with their preparations – first there was the injury to Giuseppe Rossi which ruled him out, then there was the emergence of another match-fixing scandal (which led to Dominic Criscito being ruled out), then their friendly against Luxembourg was cancelled thanks to an earthquake and finally they’ve lost 3-0 to Russia in a very Italian performance (fabulous going forward, dodgy at the back). And of course there’s the most unpredictable element of all, Mario Balotelli, more of whom later. Those of us who’ve grown up watching Italy at international tournaments might find it strange that we’re expecting a more adventurous Italian side than normal, with the likes of Giovinco, Cassano and the old master himself Pirlo. Unlike the other nations we expect to see in the later reaches of tournaments – Germany, the Dutch and Spain - this approach is untested for them at tournament level. I expect it to ultimately be a tournament too early for them, but they should be entertaining while they’re about.








Gav: They are tying with Russia on my insular rating – 3 players play outside of Italy. Which means, I have to ask the question, will they have a squad once all this match fixing dust settles?





Michael: Probably not. Del Piero and Maldini are warming up just to be on the safe side. Though to be fair, Del Piero and Maldini could probably still destroy the current Ireland team. Class is permanent.





Dave Beattie: Thoughts on Italy? I'm a bit worried about Italy. They are usually the team I love to hate when it comes to major international tournaments. But I really liked Prandelli as a club coach & if World Soccer's description of their tactics as "more attack oriented than some previous Italian teams" is accurate then I might be forced to turn my ire elsewhere.





Michael: Portugal? (Poor Torn, he’ll be wondering why everyone has such a downer on the Portuguese)





Keld, Denmark: The defence and midfield look solid and based on the Serie A champions Juventus. The big question mark is up front, where much seems to be in the hands of the enigmas Balotelli and Cassano. The latter only just returned after heart problems kept him out for the main part of the season.






Joao Diogo Reis: Italy had a shameful 2010 World Cup – two draws against Paraguay and New Zealand, and the ultimate humiliation, defeated by Slovakia. They were also eliminated in the group stage in the 2009 Confederations Cup, with one win against the USA and two defeats against Egypt and Brazil.
It’s a dark era for Italian football, and I don’t think it is over yet. 


Half of the squad doesn’t have experience at major tournaments. Some who were just in the 2010 WC squad would rather have not been there; it hasn’t enhanced anyone’s reputation.


 
One of the interesting things about Italy will be their unique tactic. While everybody will be using 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 or 4-4-2, Italy will use a 4-3-1-2. Italian club teams are the ones who try to innovate in the Champions League and Europa League: Napoli and Udinese played with a back three, while Inter started the season with a 3-4-3 project but was quickly abandoned. 


Italy’s first game will be against their last opponent in the Euro Cups: Spain, who eliminated them in the 2008 quarter finals. While the 2008 game was supposed to be “balanced” (Italy was the recent World Champion, and Spain hadn’t its Euro and World crowns yet), this one isn’t. Italy’s fight should be with Croatia for the second spot, not with Spain for winning the tournament.






Thoughts on Spain?



Michael: No bad.





Jon: What do you say about the Spanish that hasn’t been said already? ‘They’re crap’. Back in the real world, what do you say? That they’re the natural conclusion to the mantra about possession being nine tenths of the law? That their technical perfection can be sterile, particularly when other teams attempt to counter it by parking the bus? That they’re unquestionably one of the finest national sides of all time, matching the achievement of Zidane’s France in being both World and European champions? All of that. And then to keep their feet on the floor you remind them that no national side has ever won three straight major tournaments before. In a technical battle they will best any side, the biggest threat to them before the tournament centres on how they cope with the absences of both their most reliable goalscorer David Villa and the hugely influential Carlos Puyol and whether all the games played by the Barça and Real Madrid players who provide the bulk of their side might catch up on them.





Michael: They’ve only got Casillas, Pique, Iniesta, Pedro, Xavi, Torres, Llorente, Fabregas, Mata, Xabi Alonso, Alba, Ramos, Busquets, Cazorla, Silva, Martinez. So once you take away those seventeen players, they’re quite ordinary, really. Apart from the subs. And the people who didn’t make the squad. And their kids. But apart from that...







Gav: I’ve seen a lot of lovely football in Spain this season, but I do find myself wondering – can they do it without Lionel Messi? I don’t think Torres is as good, but fortunately they have Llorente (the good Fernando Torres).



They have a class squad, really, don’t they?







Dave Beattie: Thoughts on Spain? Have to be favourites for the tournament but Switzerland showed in 2010 that they can be beaten. So did Chelsea in a way - if you assume Barca are at least as good as Spain... That said their squad depth looks frightening. How many other countries wouldn't have found room for a talent like Muniain in their 23? I love to watch them play & I've rooted for Spain in major tournaments for years but I like my football more unpredictable than "the favourites win" - so I hope either someone stops them or if they can't stop them they at least make them exceed everything they've done before to win in style.





Joao Diogo Reis: Spain is the best team of the World.
They won 14 competitive games in a row (a world record): 6 2010 World Cup games plus the 8 Euro 2012 qualifiers.
And future is bright: not only they are the European and World Champions, they are also the under-21 European Champions. There’s a new generation ready to replace this one.
Vicente Del Bosque opted for the World Champions in this tournament: 19 of Spain’s 23 players were also in the World Cup squad. The exceptions are Capdevila, Marchena, Puyol and David Villa out, and Jordi Alba, Santi Cazorla, Juanfran and Negredo in.
Puyol and David Villa are injured – if not, they’d surely be in this squad too.
Replacing these two will be Spain’s “problem”: Javi Martínez as central defender, just like he did for Athletic Bilbao this season? Or Sergio Ramos as central defender just like he did for Real Madrid with Arbeloa as right back? And who should be the striker, Fernando Torres, hero of the Euro 2008 final but without a single goal in the 2010 WC, or Llorente?
Spain is so good that even without Puyol and David Villa they look like the better team, their subs are better than the starters from most of the other teams, even the players who couldn’t get in the squad are some of Europe’s finest and will surely shine in future tournaments (De Gea, Thiago Alcântara, Muniain, Adrián López, etc.)






Keld, Denmark: Del Bosque will probably not deviate from his World Cup winning formula, so he will wear both belt (Busquets) and braces (Xabi Alonso). This is probably necessary as Puyol is absent and the Shakira-ridden Pique has struggled all season. Javi Martinez or Sergio Ramos will be called upon to close the gap of Puyol. The squad is a plethora of midfield stars, but there are problems up front. David Villa, who scored the necessary goals in 2010, is gone, and Fernando Torres is well, you all know . I don’t see Llorente or Negredo starting all games, so I think del Bosque will go with David Silva in the famous “false 9” role. He was terrific when tried in that role against Scotland, but that’s not really much of a test, is it?





Michael: They’re no bad. Still think calling up Negredo over Adrian was an error though, Olympics or no Olympics. Nothing quite like looking on the bright side of life, eh?





Thoughts on the Irish? (Gavin might want to skip this question, ahem)




Gav: What the ... *lots of beeping* ... do they think ... *lots more beeping* ... Hungarian refereeing ... *even more expletives* ... to Estonia!





Joao Diogo Reis: Ireland is one of the weakest Euro 2012 teams (alongside the co-hosts Poland and Ukraine). 



The last time that they qualified for a major tournament was 10 years ago. They still keep 4 players from that squad: goalkeeper Given, defender Dunne, midfielder Duff and forward Robbie Keane. 


Although they are “supposed to” be eliminated in the group stages, perhaps even lose the 3 games, history says that Ireland was always competitive in final tournaments (4 points in Euro 1988, World Cup quarter finalists in 1990 with 4 draws and 1 defeat, against… Italy, 4 points again in the 1994 WC, and finally 5 points in 2002, progressed from its group, and then eliminated in the last 16 round in a penalty shootout by… Spain). 


Everybody remembers the way that Ireland missed the 2010 World Cup; it would have been interesting if they were in France’s group. Perhaps they can still meet later in the tournament, but I doubt it.





Keld, Denmark: Well their material fits well to their role as an underdog, and they will be a hard nut to crack for the opponents. A hard-working side with Kevin Doyle to aim for up-front. The pacy wingers could cause many teams problems on the break, and maybe Robbie Keane can pull off a trick or two before probably retiring.





Dave Beattie: Thoughts on the Irish? (Gavin might want to skip this question, ahem) When I think of football & Ireland I immediately think of Gerry Armstrong in 1982 (I know wrong country) & Ray Houghton in 1994. Italy & Spain... Now with an Italian coach with a more traditionally Italian style than the Italians themselves I hope they can give me something to cheer about. I guess the experienced spine of Given, Dunne & Keane - plus possibly Duff out wide - will be key.





Jon: Royally screwed. Arguably Trapattoni has already got them punching well above their weight just by getting them to the tournament – even Jack Charlton could call on players from England’s top clubs, . Trap’s introduced Italian style defensive steel but maintained the grand Jackie Charlton tradition of long balls and set pieces. It’s a formula which has worked well enough to take them to the verge of the last World Cup before Henry’s infamous handball led to the French pipping them and got them here behind a good Russia side. They won’t concede too many but it’s tough to see them posing the scoring threat they’ll need.





Michael: “ Made a note in my diary on the way here. Simply says... "Bugger". Darling, Blackadder Goes Forth.



Can’t think why that comes to mind.



Ireland (in this case the Republic) have made a habit of turning bad draws into success stories. In 1988, they were drawn against Holland, the crack USSR, and some side called England. They nearly qualified for the Semis. In 1990, they managed to get to the World Cup Quarterfinals, though I’m not sure anyone quite knows how, least of all Jack Charlton or David O’Leary. In 1994, they took on Roberto Baggios Italy and won, and managed to get to the last sixteen despite a fiery clash with Mexico. In 2002, Roy Keane happened just before they kicked off, and despite being over played in both matches, Ireland still managed to sneak draws against Cameroon and Germany. I like David Bennie’s comment in Soccer Samurai that the moment when Geremi scuffed his open chance for 2-0 in the Cameroon/Ireland tie, that he was surprised ITV didn’t flash up “PIVOTAL MOMENT” on the screen!



Bennie also suggests that the Mick McCarthy/Roy Keane fall out transpired in the following way:



“McCarthy: I am the Irish coach and therefore above grammar.

Keane: An Irish gentleman need not know Gaelic, but he should at least have forgotten it.”




It’s a great book, I strongly suggest it if you ever see it on Amazon. Gets read as often as the Glanville, and my rather tattered copy of Bill Leckie’s Penthouses and Pavements.



Where was I?



Oh yes, despite everything, it come down to a penalty shootout against Spain in 2002, where the Irish could claim they were a bit unlucky, certainly.



Unlucky wasn’t the half of it, as they proceeded not to qualify for any tournament between then and now. Unlucky certainly in 2004. A bad start – thumped by Russia – saw them recover to take 2nd late in the group, only to lose to Switzerland and see the Russians, who had managed to lose to Georgia (not a match you will see in the near future), somehow sneak into the playoff spot, and sneak to the Euros after dispatching a gutsy Wales. Ireland’s 2004 performances – a competitive draw in France, a friendly win over Holland – suggested they were one of the best sides to miss out on the 2004 Euros. They looked good for a place at the World Cup though, and were in a friendly enough group. Over cautious management tactics (which I feel is a kind enough euphemism) meant a group Ireland could have grabbed by the throat they instead allowed to become a four way dance, and in the final showdown, the French regrouped to win in Dublin, and the Irish were home. After looking favourites for so long, they finished fourth. It was truly an example of finding defeat in the jaws of victory.



In qualifying for 2008, they were, not very good. They did manage to finish 3rd in the group, but ten points behind the Germans, and never looked in the qualifying fight. They were undefeated at home, but that record including a 1-1 draw with Cyprus to compliment their 5-2 thrashing away.



Then came Trappatoni, and things began to change. They finished behind the Italians in the qualifying for the 2010 World Cup, and so a playoff beckoned. Against France. And we all know of the Hand of Thierry which saw the French qualify at the expense of the Irish. Two years on, and the Irish qualified, despite the Estonians feeling aggrieved. If history repeats itself, Estonia are going to the World Cup.



I have a great fear Ireland are going to get thumped to bits in this group. Whelan and Andrews going up against Iniesta and Xavi is the stuff of nightmares. They actually have some talented players, but its a tournament too late for most, and a tournament too soon for others. So thumped is my general feeling.






Thoughts on Croatia?




Michael: Dad hates Croatia. He’s probably reading this right about now. Hi Dad! Bet he never thought I’d be organising this sort of thing after seeing Gala Fairydean v Arthurlie as a child.



It is true that Croatia have had a cynical nature to their football which shows up in unsavoury moments. The infamous Australian match in 2006 wasn’t even an eyeopener to it, as Bilic himself in 1998 simulated to get Laurent Blanc sent off in the World Cup semifinal!



What makes this even sadder is that when they put their heads down, they play some lovely stuff. They blew Germany off the pitch in 2008. They were undone in the Quarters by the comeback kings, Turkey, and followed that up by a home and away thumping by England which prevented them qualifying for the 2010 World Cup. In 2006 and 2004, they were considered dark horses, and went out very quickly. I’ve actually only seen them qualify from the group stage once, and they needed to narrowly beat terrible Austria and Poland to do it. The omens don’t seem good for them here.



That said, Croatia did well in 2008, without any strikers. This time they have Jelavic, Mandzukic and Eduardo. They could be problematic. But then, could is one of the harshest words in the English language.




Jon: Bilic believes they can win the tournament, the bookies disagree. Their 4-4-2 tactics look a tad old-fashioned in a tournament of 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3 but still they’re officially amongst the ten best teams in the world. If Italy can be caught out as their defeat to Russia suggests then Eduardo and the in-form Jelavic are ideally suited to do so, but then they may well fall apart against the well organised Irish side.






Keld, Denmark: A quite experienced side with several players in their best footballing age. Schildenfeld and Simunic in the central defence are not of great quality, so the midfield four will be expected to help out massively in defence. The relentless pressure from Olic and Mandžukić up front will frustrate opponents, but in order to be dangerous they will need good services from Srna and Rakitić on the wings.





Dave Beattie: Thoughts on Croatia? They still have one of my favourite players in Modric but otherwise they seem to be a pale shadow of the team I loved watching four years ago. See them as more likely to be 4th than 2nd in the group but wouldn't mind seeing them prove me wrong - if only for outgoing coach Slaven Bilic who will surely be coaching in the Premier League sometime soon. 



 

Gav: They have a pretty strong squad, and without having to play against the double pairing of Theo Walcot and Emile Heskey they should get far. Maybe not the ideal group for them though. It might be tough for them but I suspect they might finish 2nd in this group.





Joao Diogo Reis: Croatia is the most successful ex-Yugoslavia country.
4 years ago they won their 3 games in Euro 2008 group stage, and then were eliminated by Turkey in quarter finals, in a penalty shootout.
They already had their revenge in Euro 2012 qualifiers – they qualified eliminating Turkey in playoffs, with an overwhelming 3-0 win in Turkey.
They kept most of the important players from Euro 2008. Only the Kovac brothers Robert and Niko retired.
They also have many players (13) who never played at a major tournament, including Eduardo (Croatia’s top scorer in Euro 2008 qualifiers, who broke a leg in February 2008 and was injured for 1 year, thus missing the tournament).
They have a “perfect” calendar: they start with Ireland (the easiest), then face Italy (probably already with a 3 points advantage), and end the group stage against Spain (probably already qualified after the second game).





Balotelli - saint or sinner?




Michael: Ah, Balotelli, what a mercurial nutter he is. Capable of greatness and stupidity often in the same game. His heart seems in the right place, though he was the immaturity of a child never allowed to grow up, and his head often gets lost. I can’t help but like the boy though, and chose to personally believe nearly every one of the incredible Balotelli myths that have sprung up in Manchester. After all, when questioned about one of the more outlandish ones (Mario dressing up as Santa to hand out cash to disadvantaged kids, as first heard on Twitter), Roberto Mancini said: “It’s something I could believe Mario would do.” That’s good enough for me then! As for the Euros, he’ll be a Saint. The chance to be saviour for a nation is a temptation too strong for him to do anything else surely.




Jon: He has a devil on one shoulder and an angel on the other and you never know which one he’s going to listen to. Combine that with arrogance born of flamboyant talent and you have a player who will entertain as genius or pantomime villain, rarely are there any half measures. I wouldn’t change a thing, but I’d hate to be managing him.






Dave Beattie: Ballotelli - saint or sinner? Ballotelli AND Cassano in the same dressing room. Volatile. Much.





Gav: He’s apparently a very gifted footballer. All I’ve seen him do is gift games to the opposition. As the ITV pundits will no doubt ask you CONSTANTLY – which Ballotelli will turn up?




Keld, Denmark: He will start as the undisputed first choice up front, and I think he will be saint. Italy surely needs him to be.





Joao Diogo Reis: I can find a lot of adjectives starting with an s for Balotelli: stupid, spontaneous, spoiled, silly, skilled, superfluous, etc.





Players to watch out for?



Jon: (Michael drums fingers and narrows eyes, writer takes note) Ignoring Pirlo would be a real mistake. In a fine career, orchestrating Juve’s unbeaten season over the past nine months may be his finest achievement yet. Cassano and Giovinco but above all no-one will be able to take their eyes off Balotelli – you can believe he might actually carry out his threat to kill any racists from the stands. For Croatia it has to be their mastermind Luka Modric whose ability to control games is frankly wasted in the Premier League – there’s a very good reason Roman Abramovich was willing to pay £40 million for his services. The Irish will largely be reliant on their defence, so key for them is likely to be Richard Dunne who’s just back from an injury layoff. As for Spain – well do you really need me to mention every single midfielder they’ve got? With the Spanish the interest lies with who’ll start up front for them.





Michael: Giovinco is highly rated by Prandelli, and Borini by the Italian media, so they should be interesting to see. Have Italy ever taken five strikers to a tournament before? Attack minded Prandelli is a big favourite here. Simon Cox is actually quite a talent so it will be interesting to see him at the highest level if he gets much game time for Ireland. I picked up Mandzukic as a talent to watch way back in 2008, so to ignore him now would be churlish. And finally, Cazorla. He gets forgotten, in fact, some pundits were even saying he should get axed! But he provides an asset for Spain in midfield, and in a team with so many world class midfielders, that is saying something!





Gav: Everyone from the Spain squad.





Dave Beattie: Spain - Everybody knows Spain already and Xavi & Iniesta are two of the best players in the world to watch - even without Messi. After watching Athletic Bilbao this season I'm interested to see what Llorente can do in front of goal for the national team. With Villa out & Torres in questionable - if improving - form - he might well get that chance.


Italy - I was looking forward to seeing Claudio Marchisio in South Africa & he didn't too much. Anonymous sources (wikipedia - cough) tell me he played out of position then so I'm giving him a second chance. If Italy do well AND force me to like them he's the kind of player who will have a good tournament.

Croatia - Modric & maybe Jelavic. Interested to see how much playing time some of the younger players get too - particularly Ivan Perisic from German Champions Borussia Dortmund.





Joao Diogo Reis: Balotelli - everybody will be expecting something from him… not necessarily something good.
Jordi Alba – the “new guy” in Spain’s team. Capdevila wasn’t an outstanding player; he doesn’t have a big responsibility replacing him. Maybe he will team up with his former Valencia teammate David Silva in Spain’s left flank, making it more offensive than the right flank.
McGeady – the only Irish who doesn’t play in an English speaking country. Duff isn’t getting younger, now it’s up to him to get Ireland forward and catch opponents unbalanced.
Eduardo – 4 years ago he missed the Euro that he deserved to play; now he finally gets his chance.





Keld, Denmark: Christian Maggio has been outstanding as a right wingback in Napoli for a few seasons. He might play a bit further back at the national side, but he should cope well.
Valencia’s Jordi Alba looks like the first choice on left back, and as a former winger his offensive qualities are undisguised. Whether Alba, who is widely expected to join Barcelona this summer, has the necessary defensive qualities is another question.
Jon Walters will probably not start for Ireland, but the Stroke striker will probably be the impact guy from the bench. His physicality could cause problems for tired opponents, and Walters has had a decent season in Stoke.
Mario Mandžukić has been the stand-out performer for Wolfsburg this season with 12 goals and 8 assists. The tall striker is a great at holding up the play, possesses a decent technical ability and is a beast in the box






Will Croatia be dark horses or lambs to the slaughter?



Gav: Dark horses, definitely. They will get out of this group.





Keld, Denmark: Somewhere in between. I don’t see them going further than the quarter finals, but they could spring a surprise against one of the giants in this group.




Joao Diogo Reis: I don’t think that Croatia succeeding will be unexpected, in fact, that’s what I expect to happen. The question is more appropriate to Ireland: dark horses or lambs to the slaughter?





Dave Beattie: As indicated above I'm inclined to think lambs though the more I'm writing about this group the more doubts are creeping in.





Jon: Well it’s a little harsh to call a team who haven’t been out of the world’s top ten for a few years as either dark horses or lambs, even if they had to go through a playoff to get here! Croatia would’ve graced either Groups A or D and I’d have favoured them to qualify from either, here their fortunes depend upon how Prandelli’s playing ideal translates to tournament football and also whether they replicate their indifferent form from qualifying or if their more impressive displays from the playoffs against Turkey are more representative.





Michael: Dark horses. With full referential knowledge of Jon’s previous statement.







Just how thumped will Ireland be? (Or not, if you wish to argue otherwise)




Michael: Pirlo v McGeady, Richard Dunne v Jelavic and Llorente, Walters v Pique? Very!





Jon: Well 1994 shows that Ireland needn’t necessarily be thinking that it’s only a matter of how many they concede. Ireland’s secret weapon sits in the dugout though, with Trap being probably the finest manager at the tournament. With his attention to detail and ability to weld a team into more than the sum of its parts they may not go home with many points but neither are they likely to be thrashed. Look for a lot of tight games with Trap’s nous closing the undoubted skill gap between them and the other teams in the group.






Joao Diogo Reis: In theory they will lose the three games, but history says otherwise.





Dave Beattie: I'm inclined to think less thumped than Croatia but I could be very wrong.





Keld, Denmark: They will cause problems for every team, and the point they steal could decide this group.





Gav: No where near as thumped as I would like, but will ship at least 6 goals per game. :(





Pick of the group? (As above)




Gav: Spain vs Ireland. Ireland to concede 20 goals? Yes please!





Jon: For all Estonians, Spain dismantling the Irish. Given teams may simply try the method of defending deep and narrow against the Spanish and restricting opportunities as per the last World Cup I’m going for Italy-Croatia, which is also likely to be the crucial game in deciding who qualifies.





Michael: Italy/Croatia. Though its hard just to pick one. For those in the dark, Ireland enjoyed some dubious refereeing calls in their playoff with Estonia, where Gavin lives. To explain his slight upcoming schadenfreud .





Joao Diogo Reis: Italy vs. Croatia: In 2002 Croatia won this game but it was Italy that progressed from the group. This will be crucial in the fight for the second spot.





Dave Beattie: Pick of the group? Spain v Italy. After that it depends how the group develops. Italy v Ireland with both teams on 3 points would be fascinating. On the other hand if Croatia confound my uneducated expectations then they might well not need to be world beaters to upset Italy on matchday 2. I mean Slovakia - or at least their star players - disappointed me overall in 2010 & they still beat Italy...





Keld, Denmark: Ireland vs. Croatia in the first round. Both teams know that a win here will be immensely important for their chances to reach the quarters.





Who will qualify?





Dave Beattie: After all that, Spain and Italy.





Jon: As with Group B it seems a question of who accompanies Spain through. I’m saying Italy, just as I want to see as much of Balotelli as possible.




Michael: Spain and Italy





Gav: Spain and Croatia, quite easily.





Joao Diogo Reis: Spain and Croatia.





Alan Kalder: Qualifiers: Spain and Italy, but Croatia could sneak in! I'm looking for/hoping for big things from Fernando Llorente.





Keld, Denmark: Spain and Italy





Spain 7/7

Italy 5/7

Croatia 2/7

Ireland 0/7




That bonus question again. I like the random Stuff, and so do others.


Gav: Spain won the World Cup in 2010.



Keld, Denmark: Italy only let in 2 goals in qualifying.



Alan Kalder: Trivia: Fernando Llorente is known as "The Lion King." Athletic's nickname, of course, is "los leones."



Jon: No side’s ever won three major tournaments in a row and no-one’s ever retained the European Championships crown. Yet Spain qualified with eight wins from eight and the only answer anyone’s found to them is defending deep and narrow and relying on fortune favouring them…




And that is Group C.