Showing posts with label Denmark. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Denmark. Show all posts

Sunday, 10 June 2012

Euro 2012 roundtable #7: Groups of Rather Quite Difficult Nature



(Todays article is dedicated to the memory of Manuel Preciado, former Sporting Gijon and Villarreal boss, who died this week aged 54 from a heart attack. Much loved in Spain, and seemingly about to gain more followers in the Yellow Submarine job, condolences and best wishes at this time extend from all of us to his friends, family and fans.)



Opening Ceremony



“Nice touch having a Chopin prelude during the Prelude!”
The man they call WSK




Michael: The opening ceremony is a weird affliction of tournaments. A stadium full of people watching painted dancers on trampolines thinking: “Hurry up and bring on the football!” Perhaps heeding this, the Polish kept their opening ceremony short and sweet. It even had a glimpse of Chopin, to make it easily the classiest one in a while. And almost certainly the classiest this year, if rumours of James Bond saving the Olympic Torch in London are true! No exploding vegetables or grasshoppers on stilts this year (fourteen years on, I still haven’t a clue what they were meant to symbolise). Just some nice choreography, nice music, and then all over for the football before people get tense. A success, I say!




Jon: If there was ever an argument against clichéd thinking it’s the opening day of the 2012 Euros. Those old communist countries are bound to be dull, grey settings for dull, grey football. And that opening match? According to the FIFA rankings the worst side in the tournament against a side not exactly renowned for embracing the beautiful game. Nailed on 0-0, both sides too nervous to lose their first game to go forward. Or would the Greeks set the tone for the tournament as they had in Euro 2004 by flattening the atmosphere by beating the hosts?






Poland v Greece




“Tell them to delay kick off, I’m still out!”
Gav, the man who ‘brings the style like Huggy Bear’.




“Ah, sweet sweet football.”
Jon




Michael: Ah, the opening match. I’ll be honest, we’ve been half dreading this one as much as looking forward to it. Opening matches are a mixed affair on the whole. For every Germany/Costa Rica goalfest or Argentina/France losing to Cameroon/Senegal shocker, there’s a Germany/Bolivia or Switzerland/Czech Republic. Tense, rather dull chess games, with two sides overcome by the occasion. Add to that a Polish side who had never won a European Championship finals match in their history, and a Greek side renowned for their defensive abilities over their striking capabilities, and we seemed set for another typical opening contest. A bore draw. We did get the draw.



Boring was another matter though. Poland attacked from the off, and the Greeks struggled to contain a hurricane of pressure in their goal area. It was only a matter of time, it seemed, and Poland could have had three chances before Lewandowski scored the opening goal. Poland continued to dominate, with Polanski missing a good chance, Perquis another. His scuffed shot seemed like a pivotal moment, but before the wheels turned, they nearly fell off completely for the Greeks.



First, Avraam Papadopoulos went down with an injury and had to be taken off. He has since been diagnosed with torn knee ligaments and could be out for well over seven months, a harsh blow for any footballer. It was a massive blow for Greece too, especially with what was to follow. Sokratis Papastathopoulos, much loved on Gallifrey Base due to having the Greekest sounding name around (if you’ve allow the knowing glance of ethnocentricism rearing its ugly head) was a bit of a silly boy. The referee was harsh too, to show both yellow cards in quick succession. Sokratis ought to have known that if a referee will give a soft yellow a few minutes earlier, the last thing you want to do is to make a daft foul in front of him while it is still in his mind. Marco Materazzi made the same error a number of years ago in a Champions League match against Liverpool. Papastathopoulos also seemed a bit edgy, having earlier not gotten close enough to block Lewandowski for his goal. Whatever his reasons, and the referees, Greece had suddenly lost both their strongest defenders.



It seemed Poland were destined to make history, and Match of the Day pundits even pointed it out. It must have been a jinx, as one team came out firing in the second half, and it wasn’t the hosts.




“We wanted the win and went into the game determined to fight for it. But at the beginning we failed to find the answers for Polands questions.” Fernando Santos, Greece manager



“I want to congratulate Mr Santos, who gathered the players at the interval and presented a different team at the second half.” Sofoklis Pilavios, Greek Football Association President




Michael: The different team came out all guns blazing, and it was Dimitris Salpingidis who was the pivotal man. Alongside Georgiadis, he had torn Tottenham to bits at White Hart Lane in the Europa League in November, and had scored in the World Cup. Here, less than five minutes after coming on, he rifled an equaliser past the hapless Wojciech Szczesny, who was culpable for the goal. The talented goalkeeper had come out too far and was helpless as the Greeks slotted the ball past him. Moments like that test the mettle of young players, and sadly it seemed to unsettle the Pole, for his second error was even more ghastly. Salpingidis, a whirling dervish against the Polish defence, was clean through in the box when Szczesny took him down. A straight red card for the Arsenal goalkeeper.




“Trust my favourite player in the entire tournament to get sent off in the first game” mourned Brentford Chris, and I could have offered sympathy, but instead laughed. Tyton, the second Polish goalkeeper had to come on, and his first act was to face down a Karagounis penalty. Not many tougher auditions! Thankfully for the Poles, they had a Titan in goal, as his first act was to save the penalty of the Greek captain! It was too low, but the keeper went the right way. That seemed to bouy the Poles, and from then on, both sides went tooth and nail for the late winner, but it was never to arrive.



Red cards, goals, missed penalty, missed chances, refereeing issues, super substitutions. I asked before the tie if this would be our Switzerland/Ukraine. It was on a completely different planet to that tie, and I humble apologise for the slander to the Polish and Greek teams.




The Greeks had a verve to their side I hadn’t seen since 2004, and the Poles a fighting spirit, both of which could be crucial in this group. It’s not over by a long run.





“We had good chances in the first half but we could not score the important second goal – there was a lack of concentration and coolness. We must show the performance from the first half in the whole game against Russia.” Lewandowski



“In the second half we wanted to keep the ball longer, which ended in us losing it.” Jakub Blaszczykowski, Polish captain




Gav:
This was a great start to the tournament. I was very heartened to see that my “player to watch” scored for Poland within the first 15 minutes. I thought that Poland were beginning to live up to my expectations when Greece were reduced to 10 men. The refereeing seemed somewhat harsh, but then if you really want an example of harsh refereeing then look no further than the history of a Mr Viktor Kassai.




After Pastapapolis got sent off I thought it would be a bit of a rout, after all Lewandowski had already scored one, surely another 2 were on the cards? Turns out it wasn’t to be. Greece managed to get back into the game and even scored while they were a man down. Eventually The One and Only Wojciech Chesney gave away a penalty and got sent off for going for a player when the ball would have sufficed.




Amazingly Greece failed to score and ended the game 1 goal each and 10 players each. Fantastic start to the tournament! Certainly no Switzerland Ukraine.





“It felt like a dream. Thank God I saved the penalty!”
Przemyslaw Tyton, Polish hero



“We managed to turn the game around after we had our backs to the wall.”
Dimitris Salpingidis, Greek super sub




Jon: Both sides will be disappointed and yet relieved with a point from the opening game. Poland will be ruing their missed chances in a dominant first half, Piszczeck and Blaszczycowski tormenting the Greek left back Holebas like two school bullies picking on a lonely outsider, and not taking advantage of Papastathopoulos' red card. Greece will he happy that they escaped that first half where they were on the verge of falling apart and regrouped to earn a point with a textbook example of how to play with ten men. Yet they'll regret missing their own chances in the second half, including Karagounis being denied by the Polish sub keeper Tyton.



Poland's Dortmund trio lived up to their billing and are surely vital if they are to progress from the group, Lewandowski looking dangerous and clever about drawing fouls. For the Greeks the promising Ninis disappointed, being hauled off at halftime having seen nothing of the ball. Neither keeper impressed and both defences looked vulnerable (though having lost one first choice centre half to a red and the other to injury before halftime the Greeks can be excused). On this showing neither side look a tournament winning side but Poland promise to entertain and the Greeks will fancy their chances of progressing to the knockout stages after their being in the ropes and the Czech showing against Russia.


Carlos Velasco Carballo's two yellows to Papastathoulos might have seemed harsh but were only consistent with his card happy approach in La Liga.



Managerially Bentos impressed by not panicking at halftime, setting Greece up to be solid after a poor first half and making an inspired sub in brining Salpigidis on, who turned the game. Smuda might be disappointed in himself after blowing a situation of being both a goal and a man up.





“I’ts not a small thing to come to Poland, with a good home crowd and to get this result after losing a man. The goal gave us a lot of confidence and I think what happened tonight will help us in the next matches.”
Giorgos Karagounis, Greek captain



“I believe in this team.”
Smuda, Polish manager



“Two more goals than I expected from these teams. And by that, I mean ‘in the tournament.’”
Jon





Pawel: I am quite exhausted after the yesterday's Polish performance. They were good in the first half. They should have scored at least one goal more (Polanski had a clear opportunity to do so). As they didn't, they failed to win. The second half was a disaster and we were really very lucky to get one point.



Russia has made a great impression by humiliating the Czechs. However, it is not my type for a champion. Russia can be stopped by a clever team with a good defence. It seems that allowing Russians to counter attack is suicide! I liked the match - both teams played quick football and it was nice to watch. Dzagoev is a rising star - I expected him to be an outstanding player in this tournament. He is very dangerous.



It seems that Poland has no chance against so Russians playing so well. However, I believe Poland will play better (even in the second half) than yesterday and who knows? The hope dies as the last.



The positive thing is that we didn't lose our first game, which we had done in 2002, 2006 and 2008. And we hadn't scored a single goal in an opener since 1974! Until yesterday.



When I was a lad, Poland was really good in football. I was too young in 1974, so it was in 1978 when I watched my first world cup. And in 1982 I was completely crazy when we finished third. And then a long time of misery started.



Michael’s Note – While changing the tenses (there are only three in Polish, I’ve learnt), I kept the phrase “The hope dies as the last”, as I felt that was a wonderful way of expressing something in the heart of all football fans.


‘Well, if this is how the poorer teams play’
Kevin Farrell



“If you think about it, Chesney is a hero as he saved his country. If he hadn’t made that foul, Salpingidis would have scored!”
Brentford Chris, thinking on the bright side of the street.





RedCardAMania



“The Polish lad was slipping but [foolish] to help him down. BBC punditry is shite, denouncing not analysing.”
Jon




Michael: The talking point in the opening match was the performance of the referee in two crucial moments, those being the two red cards handed out to Sokratis and ‘Chesney’. The second was a red naturally, and the keeper had no complaints. The first was more contentious. More lenient referees would have let it go, a foolish fumble rather than any malicious attempt at a foul, but the referee Carballo has a reputation for red cards in La Liga, so it was daft to give him the chance to dish them out, especially on a bigger stage.



Gav picked two red cards for the whole tournament, both Balotelli, so he’s already ahead of schedule here!





Gav: I'm glad to see that I was right about there being 2 red cards in this years tournament.





“We have to move on though. Whatever happened, happened. We can’t change anything now.”
Sofoklis Plavios






Dzagoev



Michael: Two goals, terrorised the Czech defence all day. The lad picked to be Russias man to match by several of our correspondents did well here!

As did Arshavin, free from the Arsenal Virus, and FK Zenit in general!





Russia v Czech Republic




“Czechs need Pekhart”
Gav 







Michae: Russia were picked by some as darkhorses for this tournament. They started against a Czech side who were a shadow of their former glories, but who, in such a weak group on paper, had every chance of success. What followed was lambs to the slaughter. Russia scored four times, sandwiching a lowly Pilar goal for the Czechs, and it could have been more if the Russians had stayed focused in the second half. Instead they let the Czechs back into the game for long periods, and that, coupled with lousy finishing from Kerzakhov, kept the score at 2-1 till late on. But when they did score, it felt like the Russians were fed up and swatted the pests, basically. Russia looked good, but did they look like Champions? It’ll be hard to tell till they meet a better side in the Quarters. 







“They poked the Russian bear once too often, now they are getting mauled.”
Jon 






“The trophies will be given out at the end of the tournament. We played well but not for the whole game. So I saw enough things we can do better. We’re happy, but we’ll be really happy when we reach the next round.”
Dick Advocaat, Russian manager, urging caution.






Jon: Trumpet blowing time - the player I picked as the one to watch for Russia came up trumps with a couple of goals. Dzagoev has so much experience and quality at such an early age he's got every opportunity of becoming Russia's first real footballing superstar since the days of Lobanovskyi. An absolutely dominant performance from Russia, largely nullifying what looks like a blunt Czech attack. If Kerzhakov had been on form it could have been so much worse for the Czechs as he sprayed some very good chances in every direction but goalwards. Advocaat's Russia produced the first great team performance of this championship with a combination of intelligent passing and movement, Arshavin and Shirokov too clever for the bemused Czech defensive unit. As for the Czechs, some god build up play was betrayed by a lack of invention in the final third. Highlight of the game had to be Shirokov's goal, Russia's second. A pass with the accuracy and incisiveness of a laser combined with a finish as cool as The Siberian winter.



In summary, Russia look the class of the group with Greece's having rescued a point from a dire situation giving them a slight advantage in the short qualification sprint.





“Being two-nil down at half time we couldn't cope with counter attacks for the rest of the game. In our next matches we will show how good we are.”
Rosicky







Gav:
Where do I begin? Firstly it’s pretty damn obvious that Czech manager Michal Bílek does not read Michael’s blog. Had he read the blog he would know that Pekhart should have started alongside Baros. This didn’t happen, and so Russia won 4-1.

Russia were bloody good. They played some really exciting football, let’s hope they keep it up. If they play like that all the way through to the end I wouldn’t mind them lifting the trophy.





“We wanted to get back into the game but as soon as we lost our breath they scored two more. They hit us.”
Pilar, the Czech goalscorer





Ronaldo


“If there is a penalty [against Germany] I will take it.”


Go on, miss.



“I am confident we will have a good game.”


Go on, miss.




“Coach Paulo Bento has arguably one of the weakest sides in this tournament. Ronaldo is the only actual threat. If the Germans can stop Ronaldo, marking him with two or three players, they can also stop Portugal's only offensive threat.”
Diego Maradona.



Go on, Cristiano, miss!



Ahem.



(UPDATE – There was no penalties. He didn’t score anyway.)




(SECOND UPDATE - He also claims it was unfair for Portugal to lose. Hehehe.)







Jon: So, the Group of Death, every side here in the world’s top ten. And the Danes aren’t officially the worst side here…





Danish Defence



"I'm standing here a little bit speechless, because these three points were very important. It's not over, though, there are two more matches to come."
Mark Van Bommel





Michael: It was brilliant. It needed to be with all the chances Holland were getting in the match, around thirty or so. Daniel Agger showed glimpses of Maldini at his peak, easily dispossessing the Dutch attack in the box without tackling. That large cheer you heard at that one was Jon marking out! Jacobsen was equally brilliant, and was rightfully cheered loudly for keeping the ball in play late on. The Dutch defence in contrast was weak. Time and time again, Krohn Dehli made them look ordinary as he out thought them. Only Danish profligacy denied them a bigger margin of victory, though not a patch on the same of the Dutch at the other end.





As for the Dutch, well, if you don’t get the ball on target that often in thirty shots, you get all you deserve.






Jon: There are those of us who like to believe in the rule of karma, reaping what you sow. Karma gets you sooner or later, and this looks like the Dutch punishment for their surly display in the last World Cup final.





Michael: I certainly do. Football karma rules the world. It’s just that people believe things level themselves out over the course of a season. I don’t. I believe things equal themselves over the course of a century. So countries go through long periods of success than low periods and vice versa. A disputed call against a country always comes back to haunt a team at a later point. (Case in point, “goals” in England/Germany matches!) Every thing reverts at some point, even Jimmy Calderwood’s Dunfermline side managed to beat Rangers eventually.




Jon: The Danes hadn’t beaten the Netherlands since Cruyff and Michaels revolutionised Dutch football. They picked a pretty damn good time to break that run with what’s almost a classic underdog victory. I mentioned that the Dutch has an embarrassment of riches up front and the thing about being rich and not knowing quite what to do with it is that it often induces what, to mere mortals, looks like profligacy. The Dutch dominated in terms of possession and chances, particularly in the first twenty minutes or so of either half but kept carelessly spurning them. By contrast Krohn Dehli’s assured finish, dummying Heitinga before calmly sliding the ball through Steklenberg’s legs showed them how it was done. They may bemoan a late penalty shout being turned down but fortune favours those who help themselves. Van Persie in particular failed to carry his club form through. That said, full credit should also be given to the Danish defensive unit, Qvist, Agger and Jacobsen all outstanding in denying Holland any real sustained pressure as the game wore on. Agger demonstrated why Liverpool fans reckon him to be one of the world’s best centre halves, authoritative and unruffled and including one beautiful dispossession in a Maldini/Bobby Moore style that Michael will no doubt be raving about at length.





Michael: It was so great no one else is raving about it! I don’t even have it on YouTube to show folk. Instead, here is another lovely dispossession in the 2005 Champions League final.





Jon: As for my other men to watch – Eriksen’s youth showed here with him being muscled out of the game and Afellay was part of an effective looking Dutch attack that lacked only a finishing touch.






Gav: Michael said: “So, this group is a banker Danish victory, isn't it?”



And I, tongue firmly in cheek, said “You said it...”



Well... I’m currently doing this write-up while the Germany vs Portugal game is heading into the 65th minute. At 0-0. Which means, by my rough calculations, that Denmark are currently leading the group. Which brings me onto the next game.





GERMANY V PORTUGAL




Gav: God this is boring. I can see what Germany are trying to do but Portugal obviously don’t want them to do it. The bored me wants some goals in the last 25 minutes of this game, but the bigger-picture me is toying with the idea of Denmark still being leaders of the group by the end of the night. This would be good!





Michael: A chess match. Germany huffed and puffed, but couldn’t break down the Portuguese house till late in the game. It reminded me of Spain/Portugal from the last world cup, with a similar outcome. I want to bring one moment in particular, and contrast it to an earlier one. When Rommedahl was taken off for Denmark, he acted like a petulant child. Often time and time again, we see players act badly when things don’t go their way. Last night, Miroslav Klose, on his birthday, was about to be sent on as the hero to replace Gomez when Gomez scored the goal, and so got to stay on the pitch for five more minutes. What did Klose do when told to sit down again? Cheer on his team mates and shout encouragement to Mario Gomez. He is what we would call a class act.






Jon: Is there a more heartwarming sight in football than Cristiano Ronaldo sulking his way off the pitch? I think not. 



Younger fans will recall Germany as a thrilling attacking team. This was more like the Germany so many of us recall from the 80s and 90s – not particularly pretty, knocked out of their preferred shape but still finding a way to win. That knack’s something they’ve lost over the last sixteen years, the ten since Kahn and Ballack dragged them to a World Cup final if you’re generous. For much of the game this was like a chess match, Germany probing intelligently but rarely particularly threateningly against a well organised Portugese defence. But when their chance came they were ruthless, Gomez redeeming a so-so display with a fine header from a deflected cross and keeping himself on the field a few minutes longer in the process. The reaction of Klose, who was about to come on before the goal, shows a good team spirit in the German camp. Ronaldo’s typically showy leaving of the pitch at the end showed his frustration, understandable when the coach’s system doesn’t bring the best out of him but it’s hardly what his team needs after a defeat. As I feared in the previews, the Portugese seemed content to play for a draw and it nearly worked. Shame they didn’t open up earlier as their best passages of play came when trying to force the equaliser. They lack a striker and adventure and unless they can show a little bit more creativity look like they’re going home early. Their defenders were their best players (particularly the much justly maligned Pepe). 




Oh, and in the best player in the world debate that little fella who’s not done badly for Barca this season was busy scoring a hat trick against Brazil. Ronaldo’s had better nights… 




Three exciting games so far then and one tactical chess match. It’s all shaping up rather nicely and we’re yet to see the obvious pick of the first round matches.








Gav: p.s. Just as I'm sending this Germany have scored. I'm glad, they've deserved it, but meh, I was really starting to like the idea of Denmark being clear group toppers! :)








"We lacked pretty much everything in the first half, there was no general direction, as if no player wanted the ball. The build-up play was way too slow.

"There were none of the things we saw from this team in the past which led to Germany being hailed as a favourite in this competition."


Gunter Netzer





ROY ON RIO 



So Roy Hodgson tells the BBC Rio Ferdinand missed Euro 2012 as he’d “not have been in the first team, so it would be a wasted pick, and better used on a younger player for the experience.” Which, even if doubtful it was carried out in practice, as his official reason is exactly the type of thing people were calling for.



“England can do what Chelsea have done. There are a lot of similarities after all — new manager and key players missing through injury and suspension.”
Frank Lampard

“"Even in England teams try to play good passing football now. Norwich and Swansea have shown that mentalities are changing everywhere." Laurent Blanc

“"I think it will be a beautiful victory for les Bleus. I see a double from Benzema or, at least, I’m hoping for that."
Saha


The mind games have started... 



"I would have taken it, but I was never approached. I love club football. I was relieved I didn't get offered it."
Harry Redknapp honestly didn’t want the England job, he tells us with his face falling faster than Droopy.





GERMANS IN WAITING
Holland losing their first game, next up for them is Germany. There may be trouble ahead.



“The Dutch may kick off against Germany knowing that only a win will keep them in the tournament – a match that needs no more spice now promises to be hotter than a vindaloo on Mercury.”
Jon



We are ahead of schedule when it comes to the last two Euros also. In 2004, seven goals were scored in four games. In 2008, six. In 2012, we have nine!



Greece 1-1 Spain, England 1-2 France, Croatia 2-2 France, Croatia 2-4 England, Sweden 1-1 Italy, Denmark 2-2 Denmark, Bulgaria 1-2 Italy, Latvia 1-2 Czech, Holland 1-1 Germany, Czech 3-2 Holland, Czech 2-1 Germany, Portugal 2-2 England.

Switzerland 1-2 Turkey, Turkey 3-2 Czech, Poland 1-1 Austria, Romania 1-1 Italy, Greece 1-2 Spain, Croatia 1-1 Turkey, Turkey 2-3 Germany.




Why am I listing random Euro results? Because all of the matches above are the only times in the last two Championships when the team who scored first didn’t win the match. And of those, only ten in sixty-two games led to points dropped (though of the 3 knockout ties, the team who made the comeback won the tie each time). What this means is that for all we love stirring comebacks and talk fondly of them, they are very much the exception to the rule. 


It is massively important to score first in the tournament, unless you become a “comeback” team like Turkey or have exceptional attacking quality like the Czechs in 2004. Both exceptions to the rule which artificially extend those 10 in 62. 

The point is that it wont only be me who notices this. Managers certainly will. So when you wonder why so many games become chess matches at the Euros and World Cup, look above. The first goals a killer. 



And no one wants to wind up in Check Mate.


With those cheery words, as your friendly asthmatic enjoys his latest doze of hayfever as much as a shark enjoys a septic tank, have fun with Ireland/Croatia, Spain/Italy, Ukraine/Sweden. And that other match. I hear it's a dull one between no hopers. Heh.


(All football people quotes sourced from Goal.com)

Sunday, 3 June 2012

Euro 2012 roundtable #3: Group B preview



If you are late getting to the party, you can read about how we all felt Group A would work out here, and an introduction to proceedings here. And here is a story that people just seem to like. (Cheap plug!)





And given I have a healthy sense of self-depreciation, here are some of the best moments from my Euro 2008 preview. You could see it on the old blog, but I'd rather you didn't - that place is home to quite a lot of pretentiousness. I was younger!






"But to the neutral, a warning: any money spent on Spain is likely to be wasted, yet again.They wont win it. They'll get through this group, dazzle us all with some fine attacking play, and then capitulate to the runners up of the Group of Death. Its the Spanish way. "





"David Villa is likely to stay on the bench..."



"Now this may toy with your expectations of Euro 2008, but my mysterious sources (ie, magazines, experts and fans from Greece, yeah, I know my sources aren't all that mysterious after all) tell me that, faced with elimination in the Qualifiers, Otto Rehagal dropped his defensive tactics and opted for a attack minded offence, leading to Greece qualifying with easy and lots of goals. Now, will this change continue to the Euros? I have my doubts, but it would be nice to see some of this new Greek outlook." (Oh dear)



A wonderful bit where I point out Guus Hiddink's habit of taking teams to a Semifinal, then backtrack over Arshavins suspension and say Russia will finish 3rd in their group.




"Expect big things from Sweden"



"This called the group of death, and with good reason. However I am going to say - perhaps controversially - that there are, in my mind, 1 spot for 3. Because I cannot see Italy failing at the group stage. The Italians have a great record against Holland (havent lost to them since 1978, only lost twice in their history) and then take on Romania. It should be all done and dusted before France."



"Failure. With everything being so tight in this group, Holland are the only team who have proven they will probably fall to Romania. That, and France and Italy have far superior squads to the Dutch. Also, its a tight group: who cracks under pressure fastest? The Dutch." (Ok, I was actually right. It just happened AFTER the group stage)



France "will be semifinalists at worst".




Based on that, I have no idea why people listen to me. As bad as ITV. Oh well, hopefully I've gotten wiser in the subsequent four years!












Group B




"Anyone who bets against Germany in a tournament is a fool and an idiot."

Granda George.








Despite the best efforts of Sweden and Croatia to claim otherwise, Group B is the one with the Group of Death tag. Or the Group of Mortal Ceasing to Be Forever and Ever and Ever (until the World Cup qualifiers start in August). Three of the biggest nations in Europe, and three former European Champions. Those lists aren’t mutual, as Portugal has never won the Euros. And Denmark did, though they probably still don’t quite believe that one. Even if we were to exclude Denmark right from the off however, three into two don’t go.






The Group of Death often produces some lovely football. In 2002, we saw Englands narrow win over Argentina sandwiching the Argentine flurry against Sweden and Nigeria which produced four points and an early exit for a side showing the first glimpses of the impact Marcelo Bielsas footballing philosophy would have on the game. In 2004, everyones eyes were on Holland v Germany, only for the Czechs to astound the world with three straight group wins. Then, a limp German side fell home, and Rudi Voller got the axe. In 2006, Argentina and the Dutch narrowly beat a naive Ivory Coast, then easily beat Serbia Montenegro. In 2008, Holland took advantage of French disarray and the Italian habit of retreating in a conspiracys shell to take control of their group. Was there even a group of death at the last World Cup? Oh yes, Group G. Brazil won the group, Portugal bored us all to death outside thumping the minnows, and the Ivorians, cursing their luck for a second consecutive World Cup, narrowly crashed out.






In all of the Group of Deaths, we see a recurring trend. And no, not just Holland being in them. The underdog alternate at the bottom of the pile (Nigeria, Latvia, Serbia, Romania, North Korea) turns heads for a while, sometimes for the wrong reason, but never qualifies. With the exception of 2006, the team who does go out has never lost their opening match. Also, the team who luck out in the final standings need not get too worried about the future – all the others bounced back, and sometimes much better than they were before.










Thoughts on Germany?



"A wise man once said to judge a team on recent friendlies is a foolish errand."

Me in 2008, in a rare moment of sense.






Michael: I’ve never seen the point in disliking Germany. The Voller side was a bit dull, but effective, until it wasn’t. Then Klinsmann came in, and was slated all the way until the opening match of the 2006 World Cup. Do you remember some German fans fearing they’d crash out in the group stage? Some crash that was! Five straight wins was a run only ended by the eventual World Champions, Italy, in a glorious Semifinal. In 2008 they got to the final, though I’m not sure they hit the heights of 2006 in their run. Though the never say die attitude that got them past Turkey in the Semis was something to behold.






2010 put both of those in the shade though. The Germans were good. Very good. I am ashamed to admit I thought that being injury ridden and focusing on the kids, an early exit would happen. Those kids came ever so close to winning the whole tournament, dispatching the ego driven superstars of England and Argentina with exquisite football. Then they hit a roadblock called Carlos Puyol.






This was the same roadblock they met in 2008.






In 2012, we might see Germany v Spain for the third time in successive tournaments. The rule of three in movies suggests this time the Germans finally vanquish the unbeatable Spaniards. However, to do that, they have to qualify first!






They have a team oozing with quality though. My 2nd favourite player at the tournament, Thomas Muller, had a sensational World Cup, and so nearly won the Champions League in May, but for a bizarre substitution by his manager once he’d scored his goal. Miroslav Klose needs no introduction, he is simply one of the finest international strikers in football today. Even at the age of 33, I wouldn’t bet against him adding to his phenomenal tally, and he will surely aim to continue on to the World Cup where he is one goal off the record of Top Goalscorer in World Cup history. Schweinsteiger, the man who until May I had never seen miss a penalty. When he scores, Germany never loses. When Klose scores, Germany never lose either. Thats a wonderful psychological advantage to have.






They also have Mario Gomez, one of the most frustrating men in world football. If he scored half his chances, he’d be the greatest striker alive.






You could see goals from all over the pitch, another strength. The defence might not be as strong as it ought to be though.









Gav: Germany are quite good at football. I seem to remember tipping them as tournament winners (until I saw who was in the Czech Republic squad). They are a disciplined side and are better than England at taking penalties. What else can I tell you that Adrian Chiles probably already has a 100 times? Germany get an insular rating of 4. Not quite as insular as the Russians, but very close. Germany have Phillip Lahm who I love. He’s one of my favourite defenders and I’ve always wanted him in my Football Manager games but have never managed to sign him. How sad. They also have Ozil who was one of the standout players in the 2010 World Cup – it’s such a shame he went to Real Madrid. Still, he’s only 23, plenty of time to join Southampton at some point in his career.






I’m going to stick my neck out on the line and say that I think Germany will do well this year.








Jon: Things I like about not being English – I can quite happily admire the qualities of the Germans and enjoy. Schweinsteiger, Khedira, Kroos, Ozil, Lahm, Muller, Podolski… this is what a real golden generation looks like. It’s largely the same team as two years ago but two years older and wiser. The only question is have they closed the gap with Spain enough in two years? That they’ve only won one of their three matches so far this year is frankly irrelevant.








Keld, Denmark: A great team with immense depth in the offensive sector. Müller and Podolski can be replaced by creative players like Götze, Schürrle and Reus if Germany has any trouble in breaking up defences. They will probably try to adopt some of the Bayern München-forces in possession to become more than a predominantly counter-attacking team. The composition of the defence hasn’t been very stable; Philip Lahm is the only dead-certain starter, while Mats Hummels and Holger Badstuber have decent chances as well. The last spot is up for grabs, and this uncertainty combined with a Manuel Neuer, who has had some lapses of concentration in the past months, suggests potential defensive troubles against quality opponents, like the one’s waiting already in the group stage.








Joao Diogo Reis: Germany was great in the 2010 World Cup. Their starting XI two years later is pretty much the same. Their “reserves” are highly praised, although they have a lot to prove at this level. They are basically the Borussia Dortmund legion (Hummels, Schmelzer, Gotze, Sven Bender, etc.), players who won two German Leagues, but did nothing relevant at higher levels (Europa League and Champions League).
Based on expecting a lot from these players, the Germans think that they have a super squad. They may find out that their expectations were unreal.




Although Germany was fantastic in the 2010 World Cup, they lost two of their 3 games against European opposition – Serbia and Spain (and they defeated England). The other 4 wins were against Australia, Ghana, Argentina and Uruguay. 


The quality of their reserves isn’t the only problem. Who should be their striker, veteran Klose who may be past his best but has a fantastic record of 16 goals in 27 games at Euro or World Cups, or younger Gómez who has a great record at club football (12 goals in this Champions League edition) but never scored a goal for Germany in 8 games at Euro or World Cups?






Dave Beattie: Thoughts on Germany? Germany have been terrific to watch ever since Klinsmann had his stint in charge in 2006. Bit of an English-centric rant here but in 2000 Germany & England were equally awful. Germany might have been outrageously fortunate to reach the World Cup Final in 2002 - given that they were still fairly awful then - but since that their production of new young talent has been impressive to say the least. In England we still seem to be talking about the need to get the kids playing the right way at an ever younger age.










Thoughts on Holland?





Michael: I’ve never been a fan of Holland. I know, that’s practically a crime against football fandom, and the police will be around to send me to the Hague ASAP. But, for all the talk of the wonderful Total Football side, the Dutch side of my generation have been a bunch of grafters. They can play when they want to, but they had plenty of opportunities to do that in 2006 and 2010 and somehow managed to fail to live up to expectations. They always fail to live up to expectations. Even in 2008, when the entire world was waxing lyrically about the side, when all they’d done was use a sneaky tactic to catch Italy off guard, then thump a disinterested France. Against Romania they were pedestrian, and then they were out Total Football’d against the first team that tried playing them at their own game in Russia! They were a Euro 2008 footnote, spoken about at great length.



So, if they were to hammer a fragile Portugal and Denmark here, I’d expect the exact same praise. I feel a bit jealous of those who have 1970s and 80s Orange-tinted glasses, really. I wasn’t there, its all history to me. I go back and try and appreciate it, and come away going “Wow, Franz Beckenbauer invented Total Football, what a genius!” Or maybe I’m just contrarian like that.






They can be a nice side to watch when they feel like it though. Some of the football they produced against the French was admittedly very pretty, and against the Uruguayans and Italians in recent years they’ve shown lovely counter attacks. They were also one half of my favourite match ever, Holland v the Czech Republic at Euro 2004. A match I hear isn’t too popular in the Netherlands since Holland give up a 2-0 lead in it!






Here, I expect them to be a bit dour. The match against Denmark at the World Cup was a snooze, and though fiery, Germany/Holland could well be akin to the World Cup final.






They’ll get through, because they always seem to. They will probably get lots of credit for doing so. They might even meet Russia again in the Quarters. Don’t be surprised if they crash out much sooner than some expect, and in the usual cynical way.








Keld, Denmark: Will be interesting to see whether van Marwijk keeps the double lock with Mark van Bommel and Nigel de Jong, or whether he goes with a more creative player like Kevin Strootman or Rafael van der Vaart to partner one of them. Wesley Sneijder hasn’t been superb for the last two seasons and if he fails to hit the standard of the 2010 World Cup, Holland will hope that Robin Van Persie can continue his goal bonanza.








Joao Diogo Reis: Like Germany, Holland was also great in the 2010 World Cup. 6 wins in a row until they lost the final against Spain (Denmark, Japan, Cameroon, Slovakia, Brazil and Uruguay). They also had 9 wins in a row in Euro 2012 qualifiers, until they lost the last game against Sweden when they were already qualified. 





While Holland doesn’t have some of Germany’s problems, they have one big problem – the left back position. 


The only left back in their squad is 18 years old Willems. Bouma can also play there although he plays as central defender for PSV, Schaars is a left footed midfielder who may be adapted to play there… and there are also the possible adaptations of Heitinga or Boulahrouz. Too many doubts, Holland doesn’t have any more the security that Van Bronckhorst provided 2 years ago. 


They don’t have Germany’s striker problem (Van Persie and Huntelaar seem good enough, and there’s still Luuk De Jong as third choice), and their “reserve” is also reliable. 


Only 6 players in Holland squad never played in a major tournament: Krul, Willems, Vlaar, Strootman, Narsingh and Luuk De Jong.






Jon: The Dutch weren’t overly fancied by anyone to reach the World Cup 2010 final yet they did thanks mainly to Wesley Sneijder’s goals and much hard work from the likes of Van Bommel and Kuyt. The big question mark over them this time is their stamina – can the likes of Robben (after going all the way in the Champions League) and van der Vaart and an aging defence stand up to the rigours of tournament football? And will van Bommel’s inevitable slowing thanks to age mean he’s going to commit even more fouls which he’ll somehow escape punishment for? Plenty of goals at both ends of the pitch in their matches likely with a selection of forward players who’re the envy of probably every other competing nation.






Dave Beattie: Thoughts on Holland? Every instinct tells me that in a Holland-Germany head-to-head I should always root for the Dutch. But given how much I've enjoyed watching the Germans play in the past few years - at least when England aren't the other team - and the bitter taste left by the Dutch in the 2010 World Cup Final. Oh - & they were on the pitch in that awful game with Portugal in 2006 too...






Michael: Contrarian alert. I loved that 2006 game. 16 yellow cards, 4 reds, Figo headbutting folk, Ronaldo having to leave the pitch in tears after being hacked down, and in the middle of all that, a brilliant Maniche goal. Whats not to love? By the last five minutes, it was 6 attackers v 6 attackers, and I was desperate for extra time! The image of Deco and Von Bronckhorst, Barcelona buddies, sitting in the stands together having both been sent off, lives long in the mind too.










Gav: They wear orange. They’ll do well as usual, but don’t deserve it after their performance in the 2010 World Cup final. They are Chelsea to me.






Thoughts on Portugal?





Michael: No decent strikers, squad disharmony, a coach infamous for eccentric tactics, a star player who believes his own hype. If Portugal make it to the Quarterfinals, expect to see Mother Theresa reading the Six O’Clock news in the near future, as miracles have started happening.






Joao Diogo Reis: Portugal qualified for its 7th major tournament in a row. The last time that they missed one was the 1998 World Cup. In Europe, only Germany, Italy, Spain and France have been qualifying for more tournaments in a row. France’s last miss was the 1994 World Cup (9 in a row), Italy and Spain missed Euro 1992 (10 in a row), while Germany has been qualifying for every tournament since 1970 (22 in a row! Their last miss was Euro 1968, when it only had 4 teams). 


Unlike Germany and Holland, Portugal’s qualification was problematic. They only had 1 point after two games, where the coach was still Carlos Queiroz, but was suspended by the Portuguese Federation, so Agostinho Oliveira was the caretaker. After this bad start, a lot of things changed - new coach (Paulo Bento), some different players, and 5 wins in a row. Defeat against Denmark in the last group game forced Portugal to play a playoff, where they met Bosnia again (just like two years earlier in a World Cup playoff). Once again Portugal prevailed. 


Things haven’t changed from chaos to harmony with the new coach, though. Paulo Bento had problems with Bosingwa and Ricardo Carvalho, and none was included in the Euro 2012 squad. 


Like Holland, Portugal’s squad also has only 6 players who never played a major tournament: João Pereira, Miguel Lopes, Custódio, Rúben Micael, Varela and Nélson Oliveira.






Dave Beattie: Thoughts on Portugal? Portugal always seem to suffer from the lack of a real world class centre forward. On paper - with Ronaldo able to provide goals - they ought to be able to overcome this deficit but they always seem more like a talented bunch of individuals than a team to me.






Jon: I know football’s an eleven man game but I can’t enjoy any team which contains Ronaldo, the apotheosis of everything I dislike in a player. He’s one of the best in the world I grant you, but there’s a selfishness and arrogance to his game which is off-putting. And then they’ve got Nani, who’s undoubtedly talented but seems to spend more time working on his celebration than on his teamwork and I’m still to mention the most liked man in La Liga *cough* Pepe. Still, maybe this will be the tournament where they don’t play dead against good teams…






Keld, Denmark: The same old forward problems remain in Portugal, who will play one of Hélder Postiga, Hugo Almeida and Nélson Oliveira up front. Neither seems up to the job, so the Portugese will again put their goal-scoring faith in Christiano Ronaldo and Nani.










Gav: They have Ronaldo. Whenever I hear ITV football pundits talk about Ronaldo I think of this song - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VLnWf1sQkjY&ob=av3n .






I am actually surprised that Paulo Bento has been brave enough to select any other strikers in the squad, presumably Ronaldo will see this as a bit of a snub?






Thoughts on Denmark?





Michael: Denmark is a lovely country. I’ve been there twice. One time, I was five and we went to Legoland. Which was brilliant. The second time, mum was at a conference, so me and dad spent the entire time eating Yorkies and telling each other ghost stories in the middle of Kobenhavn square. That was also brilliant. They also have laws designed to protect hedgehogs. Thats the kind of country I can’t help but root for: it’s a bit like a foreign Scotland!






(Last time I was there, they were also bloody expensive! But one can’t have it all!)






Danish Dynamite. They looked so good at the 1986 World Cup, then got thumped by Spain. They didn’t look so good in qualifying for the 1992 Euros. I’m being cruel, they finished a point behind Yugoslavia, but only the top team advanced so that was it. Then a little something called the breakup of Yugoslavia and the Balkan War happened. You may have heard of it. As a child of the time, the carnage and of Sarajevo is the first things I think of when I hear of the city. But here is not the place to go into the murky and many issues in that time period, bar one. Yugoslavia were disqualified from Euro 1992 as a result of the issues, and runners up Denmark invited to take their place. Many scoffed, Michael Laudrup in fact refused to return from his holidays for the tournament, which Denmark promptly won. Their 2-0 sensational win over Germany in the final sealed by Kim Vilfort, a man surrounded by tragedy: he had left the bedside of his dying daughter as she wanted to see him play in the final. Sniff. I think I have something in my eye.






Tragedy has stalked the Danish sides of recent memory: I think of Stig Tofting’s tragic early life, and of course, the poor manager, Olsen, who lost his wife several years ago when she fell overboard from a Germany to Denmark ferry.






Such events make a mockery of those who view “football isn;t a matter of life and death, its more serious than that” with a straight face. It also grounds the Danish side. This is not a country prone to egotistical huffs, they work with what they have. All for one and one for all, that even produces some nice flair at times.







Dave Beattie: Thoughts on Denmark? Denmark have largely slipped under my radar to be honest but the first line of WS's tactics section: "Olsen favours a flexible, attacking 4-3-3 system, with a view to using the wide players as much as possible" suggests they ought to be a team to watch. Shame they have such a tough draw.







Gav: Do I need to comment on Denmark? I guess it depends which Nicklas Bendtner turns up. If he hasn’t got his scoring boots on then Denmark will finish rock bottom of this group. If, however, the goal scoring Bendtner turns up then I can easily see Denmark finishing rock bottom with a goal to their name.







Jon: Along with Ireland the Danes must’ve been cursing the luck of their draw. Portugal again after they’d seen them off in qualifying and then the second and third place teams in the World Cup. But they’ve a lot to recommend them. There’s a solid spine to Morten Olsen’s team, despite long term first choice Sorenson being ruled out – Agger and Kjaer are one of the finest defensive pairings at the tournament, Kvist’s prospered in his step up to German football and ahead of him the is probably the most exciting Danish player since Michael Laudrup was in his prime, Christian Eriksen. If self belief equated to talent Nicklas Bendtner would dwarf the talents of Messi, Maradona and Pele combined but he’s good enough to do the job Olsen wants him to.






Joao Diogo Reis: Denmark qualified for 5 major tournaments in a row (1996-1998-2000-2002-2004), then they missed two (2006-2008), and now they’ve qualified for their second in a row (2010-2012).
They kept their coach Morten Olsen since the 2002 World Cup qualifiers. Many would have fired their coaches after failing to reach one or two final tournaments, or even for reaching it (in 2010) but not getting through the group stages. But not Denmark, they have a different way of doing things. 


People are talking about the “group of death” because of Germany, Holland and Portugal… but Denmark is quite big as well. They are the 10th in the Euro Cups all time table, only behind Germany, Holland, France, Spain, Italy, Portugal, Czech Republic, Russia and England. 


11 players of Denmark’s Euro 2012 squad never played a major tournament, while 8 only played one, the 2010 World Cup, where things didn’t went as expected. They reached the third game with 3 points (a defeat against Holland and a win against Cameroon), a win against Japan was necessary in order to progress. Instead they lost 1-3 and were eliminated – the first time that they couldn’t progress from a group stage in a World Cup. 



This time they’ll meet Holland again in the first game, but now the other opponents are Portugal and Germany, not Cameroon and Japan.






To try and top Group A, this time we have two Group B home perspectives. Step forward Keld:






Keld, Denmark: Our team should definitely be better than at the 2010 World Cup, but the opposition is dramatically stronger as well. The World Cup taught Morten Olsen an important lesson, which he has repeated several times: The players should be in match fitness. At the world cup several players had just returned from injury, but were pushed right into the starting line-up. So this time we should be fresher, younger, and more match fit. 


Old profiles like Jesper Grønkjær, Daniel Jensen, Martin Jørgensen, and Jon Dahl Tomasson all retired, or were omitted from the squad shortly after the World Cup. Especially the latter's retirement meant a quite significant change for the Danish Team. We kept the 4-2-3-1 system, but the change of personnel makes quite a difference. Instead of Tomasson, who was pretty much a second striker, Christian Eriksen, who is much more of a classic attacking midfielder, stepped into the side. The Ajax player has made Denmark better in possession, and more fluid up front. The downside, however, can be that Denmark lack players to support Bendtner in the box. 


Two other old players, Christian Poulsen and Thomas Sørensen, played a huge part of the Danish failure in South Africa with very obvious personal mistakes. The fans and the media demanded them out of the starting line-up, and Christian Poulsen was quickly replaced by William Kvist. Kvist quickly found into a great duo with Niki Zimling at the central midfield. Both players have a great stamina and can cover big spaces; Zimling adds a bit of attacking spark to the duo as well. 


Olsen, however, seemed to stick with Sørensen in goal despite his many injuries and his aura of uncertainty. So many Danes breathed a sigh of relief when Thomas Sørensen was injured in a recent friendly against Brazil; another game wherein he made a clear mistake. Hopefully Stephan Andersen or Anders Lindegaard can prove a safer last bastion. 


The Eriksen – Rommedahl – Bendtner trio was our most dangerous weapon throughout the qualification; Eriksen makes a pass behind the defence, Rommedahl outruns them and crossed for Bendtner. Seehttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DY_N4CtL8PI#t=01m35s 

 
As Denmark is not expected to dominate the games, we could very well get the space to repeat this trick at Euro 12.










So, this group is a banker Danish victory, isn't it?





Gav: You said it...






Dave Beattie: Never say never...






Jon: Don’t write them off. They’ve already proven that they can match the Portugese, Olsen likes a possession based game and with key players from the German and Dutch sides liable to be suffering the rigours of a long club season (particularly those from Champions League finalists Bayern) they may well spring a surprise.






Keld, Denmark: Yes, the road seems quite clear for us. We will start out with the 0-0 draw against Holland that we would have gotten at the World Cup, had Simon Poulsen not inexplicably headed the ball into his own net. Then we will beat Portugal like we have done in our two last qualifications. And in our last match day, we can agree on a draw with a German side, which is already through. It’s as simple as that.






That’s the spirit!





Joao Diego Reis: Denmark’s problem is that Holland, Portugal and Germany are “improved” versions of Denmark. The football principles are the same, but it’s like playing chess and Morten Olsen is playing with pawns, while Low, Van Marwijk and Paulo Bento are playing with rooks, bishops and knights. (And that genius Paulo Bento gave up on one of his knights and opted for bringing a pawn instead). For Morten Olsen to win, being brilliant isn’t enough, he has to be brilliant and the others have to be really stupid.






I love hearing JDR’s opinions, as despite them being almost the complete opposite philosophy of mine, especially at the European football level, they are often full of interest and clever points. I suspect in this case, he has the nail firmly on the head, and with a nice analogy to boot. Though, speaking from a position of complete and utter bias, I hope Olsen is brilliant and the others are really stupid!









Players to watch out for?





Michael: Hugo Viana, once a punch line for Bobby Robson, had a wonderful season with Braga, so naturally the coach tried to axe him. Injuries twisted his hand, however, and Viana has his chance. Hummels impressed in Germany’s 5-3 defeat to Switzerland, and Marco Reus looks to be a useful threat. Jetro Willems has been flung in at the deep end for Holland, and how well they do may depend on how well he does. And after a solid season, if he gets any playing time, the young defender from Nordsjaelland, Okore. Well, I couldn’t just say Eriksen, could I?






Jon: The German and Dutch sides are essentially known qualities so no surprises here- Lahm won’t be playing his favoured right back role, but it’s always fun to see him marauding up the wing and Schweinsteiger will likely give his usual object lesson in controlling the game. For the Dutch the man worth keeping an eye on is Afellay – he’s had an injury wrecked season after his big move to Barca so his legs will be relatively fresh. Eriksen is touted as the next great Danish talent, but also Liverpool fans will tell you to watch out for Daniel Agger stepping gracefully forward with the ball out of defence. As for Portugal, anyone but the two wide attackers whose biggest love seems to be their own reflections!






Dave Beattie:
Germany: Key man - Ozil. New face to look out for: Mats Hummels - centre back from Champions Dortmund. 

Holland: Key man - Van Persie. Some interesting youngsters in the squad by the looks of things - especially left back Jetro Williams from PSV - who was in the U17s in 2011. Of all the youngsters though possibly Luuk de Jong of Twente has most chance of making an impact from the bench. 

Portugal: Boring to say but Ronaldo probably is the key man. It will be interesting to see if Nelson Oliveira of Benfica gets any playing time. 

Denmark: If Denmark are to surprise their new(ish) talent Christian Eriksen will probably be a name on the lips of the wider football audience by the end. I've always liked the look of Simon Kjaer in central defence but WS has Andreas Bjelland of new Champions Nordsjaelland - though sadly already off to Twente in the summer - as likely to play alongside Daniel Agger. Also interesting to see another Nordsjaelland defender - 19 year old Jores Okore - in the squad.






Joao Diego Reis: Hummels – the Borussia Dortmund player with the “easiest” access to the starting XI. He started 4 games in the qualifiers and although Germany won them all, they couldn’t get a single clean sheet.
Willems – All eyes will be on Holland’s left flank, their “weak spot”.
João Pereira – the pawn who is replacing the knight.
Krohn-Dehli – can a simple pawn be more effective than prima donnas like Cristiano Ronaldo, Robben & co.?






Gav: Look out for Ronaldo. Whenever he is on the ball mute your television set.






Keld, Denmark: Dortmund central defender Mats Hummels will be very important in the German defence. He is great with the ball at his feet, so he can break forward and start attacks against defensive sides.
I bet I’m not the only one who is excited to see Khalid Boulahrouz back in the Dutch starting line-up. The cannibal will probably start at left back; he will not provide many long forward runs, but his defensive abilities are strong.
Raul Meireles will be important for Portugal as the tenacious midfielder will be expected to combine a strong defensive showing with his characteristic forward runs.
William Kvist was named Danish Football Player of the Year in both 2010 and 2011, and the Stuttgart midfielder will be extremely important. As Denmark is not exactly expected to dominate possession in all games, he will have to deliver many interceptions and precise tackles in front of the defence. Furthermore some calm passing will be needed, so that Denmark will be able to keep hold of the ball in some periods of the games.






One of the big teams is going home (at least) - which is the most vulnerable?





Joao Diogo Reis: Germany is vulnerable because they overestimate the quality of their “reserve”, because Klose may be past his best and Gómez’s club form may not be repeated for the national team.
Holland is vulnerable in the left flank; actually their entire defense isn’t that impressive. Football is about attacking and defending, not only attacking.
Portugal is vulnerable because they don’t play as a team, because most of the players are too short, because Cristiano Ronaldo will monopolize all the free kicks trying to score a goal, instead of using them to cross the ball to his teammates.






Keld, Denmark: Well, Portugal is actually my least favoured team in this group; their defensive issues and lack of a credible striker will be too much to overcome.






Jon: No-one would’ve said the Germans… then they lost badly to Switzerland in a friendly on the weekend, albeit with a weakened side. Barring injuries depriving them of key players though they look the strongest side in the group and with two semi-final appearances in the last two World Cups to go with their runner-up spot in the last Euro Championship they have the experience and quality to negotiate a tricky group.



Sneijder, the key Dutch player from 2010, isn’t on form and if temperatures rise a few of the aging regulars could be found out by either pace or sides who force them to chase the ball. They have more goals in them than the Portugese though, and if in doubt in these situations always favour the team better equipped to score to do well.




Portugal somehow seem to equate to less than the sum of their parts at any major tournaments and though I’m not a fan of Ronaldo they’re foolish not to build their system around him – they’ve almost seemed designed to negate his obvious strengths at times and the Danes had him comfortably contained in the qualifying matches.










Gav: I’d say Portugal have the most chance of going home here.






Dave Beattie: The only team whose elimination would really shock me would be Germany.






Pick of the group? 





Michael: Germany/Denmark. A solid “whatever Denmark needs to KO Holland and Portugal” will ensure. Ahem.






Dave Beattie: I really don't know what to expect from this group but I fear that some of the most exciting games on paper might lead either to mutual suffocation and/or an increase in the number of cards per game average for the tournament - so I'm probably looking forward most to the games involving Denmark.






Gav:It has to be Portugal vs Netherlands. This one will be the decider for 2nd place. A lot at stake so Ronaldo will get sent off for retaliating when Nigel De Jong breaks his legs.






Jon: I’d love to say Germany-Portugal but fancy that the Portugese will be shyer and coyer than a teenage wallflower being asked out by the school hunk again. Instead my seat in front of the telly has long been reserved for one of the great grudge matches of international football, Germany-Holland.






Joao Diogo Reis: Germany vs. Portugal – if someone wins this game, the winner will be almost qualified to the quarter finals, while the loser will be in serious trouble (although still with a chance to recover)






Keld, Denmark: Netherlands vs. Germany in the second round.










Who will qualify?





Michael: Germany and Holland






Jon: Germany, and I’m going to go for the Danes to be the surprise quarter finalists with Eriksen demonstrating his talents. That’ll see them go home with no goals and no points now, guaranteed…










Gav: Germany and the orange Chelsea.






Alan Kalder: Qualifiers: Germany and Holland, but I'm rooting for Portugal, of course






Dave Beattie: Brave punt or serious wishful thinking only time will tell but... Germany & Denmark.






Keld, Denmark: Germany and Denmark.






Joao Diogo Reis: Portugal and Holland






Germany 6/7


Holland 4/7


Portugal 1/7


Denmark 3/7







Denmark have three times as many votes as Portugal! Of course, before anyone takes the Germany prediction to the bank, a word of warning: our solitary dissenter, Joao, is often right more than he is wrong. Which would be worrying for the Germans.





The Bonus question bit for Stuff People Ought to Know but Probably Don't.





Michael: I watched Germany v Switzerland. Stegen, the young goalkeeper, was at fault for all five goals. Goal.com still said he should go to the Euros. I said he’d be axed. I was right and they were wrong. *does smug dance*






Gav: A little known fact about Denmark – my brother lives there.






Jon: As I’ve alluded to already, the Danes should have a psychological edge having taken their qualifying group ahead of the Portuguese.






And despite my possibly harsh words earlier, there are actually some Portugese players I like. Honest!






Keld, Denmark: French club Evian is the biggest provider to the Danish national team squad with four players.






Joao Diogo Reis: Portugal was never eliminated in a Euro Cup group stage.
Holland was only eliminated in a group stage once; in 1980 (West Germany was in that group).
Germany was eliminated in a group stage thrice: 1984 (Portugal was in that group), 2000 (Portugal again) and 2004 (Holland was in that group)
Denmark was also eliminated in a group stage thrice: 1988 (West Germany was there), 1996 (Portugal was there) and 2000 (Holland was there).
So, whenever one of these teams fell in a group stage, there was always another of these teams present.



That is actually fascinating to my statistical mind.





And that is Group B.







On Monday, we shall look at Group C, which has my favourites to win the tournament in it.